Langue:Français
FC Ingolstadt 04 v TSG Hoffenheim II
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)
Prévision 46.28%2.16cote équitable
EV -5.13%
Avantage -2.50%
Kelly -4.89%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.00%46.33%46.31%47.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.951.952.0554.64%51.21%51.28%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
TSG Hoffenheim II (Visiteur)
Prévision 29.06%3.44cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.353%
Kelly -0.501%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.49%29.02%28.94%30.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.123.103.4035.71%32.04%32.26%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 24.67%4.05cote équitable
EV -3.56%
Avantage -0.910%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.72%24.65%24.75%25.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.663.653.9129.41%27.30%27.40%25.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local) : 46.28% ; TSG Hoffenheim II (Visiteur) : 29.06% ; Match nul : 24.67%. Pour TSG Hoffenheim II (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.44. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.40, pour une espérance de -1.20% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.13%E -2.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.20%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.20%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.14%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.51%EV -2.95%E -0.882%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.35%EV -3.56%E -0.910%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.97%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -9.30%E -4.74%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -9.30%E -4.74%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -9.30%E -4.74%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -1.20%E -0.353%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 16:16 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.72%EV -7.89%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-16 16:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -7.50%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.67%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.67%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.67%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.67%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.67%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.67%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.67%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.58%EV -10.22%E -5.27%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 28.33%EV -7.30%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-16 16:52 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.69%EV -11.15%E -5.81%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -13.67%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -11.61%E -6.08%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-16 16:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -11.61%E -6.08%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -16.14%E -4.75%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.14%EV -13.00%E -6.92%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.28%EV -9.97%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -15.32%E -8.37%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.44%EV -16.31%E -5.66%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -13.67%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-09-16 16:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.62%EV -15.32%E -8.37%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.82%EV -18.64%E -6.66%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.56%EV -16.14%E -4.75%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.62%EV -15.32%E -8.37%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.82%EV -18.64%E -6.66%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.56%EV -16.14%E -4.75%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 1.5% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 1.5% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95% | 1.5% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |