Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Ingolstadt 04 v Alemannia Aachen

Início: 2026-09-04 17:00 UTC

Final: FC Ingolstadt 04 0–3 Alemannia Aachen

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)

Previsão 41.91%2.39odd justa
EV -4.86%
Vantagem -2.14%
Kelly -3.83%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.64%41.91%41.92%42.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.172.182.2748.78%46.14%45.87%44.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alemannia Aachen (Visitante)

Previsão 32.90%3.04odd justa
EV -4.60%
Vantagem -1.59%
Kelly -2.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.14%32.81%32.87%34.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.752.802.9040.00%36.33%35.71%34.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.19%3.97odd justa
EV -3.01%
Vantagem -0.782%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.24%25.27%25.21%26.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.573.603.8531.25%28.03%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local): 41.91%; Alemannia Aachen (Visitante): 32.90%; Empate: 25.19%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.97. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.85, com valor esperado de -3.01%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.97%EV -4.86%E -2.14%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.96%EV -4.93%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 12:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.65%EV -5.28%E -2.34%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.91%EV -5.92%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 09:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.65%EV -5.28%E -2.34%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.91%EV -5.92%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 09:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.60%E -1.59%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.42%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -3.01%E -0.782%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 07:30
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 13:49
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 07:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 07:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 07:35
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 07:30
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 07:30
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 07:35
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 07:30
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-04 08:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-04 08:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-04 08:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 07:44
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 07:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 07:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 07:45
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 07:44
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 07:45
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 07:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 07:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 07:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 07:45
Suprabets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.68%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.28%EV -10.20%E -3.73%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.03%EV -8.55%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 08:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 07:35
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 08:45
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 10:28
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 07:35
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.18%E -4.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 07:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.18%E -4.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 07:30
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.18%E -4.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 07:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.18%E -4.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 07:30
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 07:35
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -11.18%E -4.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-04 07:45
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.39%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -13.49%E -5.13%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.56%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-04 07:35
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.03%EV -12.82%E -6.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-04 14:04
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.57%EV -14.08%E -6.87%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.09%EV -17.76%E -7.10%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.35%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%17.4%2026-09-04 08:50
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.64%EV -14.08%E -6.87%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.32%EV -17.76%E -7.10%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.04%EV -19.38%E -6.06%K -8.81%G +0.000%20.0%2026-09-04 08:59
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.64%EV -14.08%E -6.87%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.32%EV -17.76%E -7.10%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.04%EV -19.38%E -6.06%K -8.81%G +0.000%20.0%2026-09-04 09:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.76%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74%2.2%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.76%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74%2.2%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.76%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74%2.2%2026-09-04 14:25