Langue:Français
FC Ingolstadt 04 v Alemannia Aachen
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)
Prévision 41.91%2.39cote équitable
EV -4.86%
Avantage -2.14%
Kelly -3.83%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.64%41.91%41.92%42.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.172.182.2748.78%46.14%45.87%44.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Alemannia Aachen (Visiteur)
Prévision 32.90%3.04cote équitable
EV -4.60%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -2.42%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.14%32.81%32.87%34.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.752.802.9040.00%36.33%35.71%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 25.19%3.97cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -0.782%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.24%25.27%25.21%26.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.573.603.8531.25%28.03%27.78%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local) : 41.91% ; Alemannia Aachen (Visiteur) : 32.90% ; Match nul : 25.19%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.97. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.85, pour une espérance de -3.01% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.97%EV -4.86%E -2.14%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.96%EV -4.93%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.65%EV -5.28%E -2.34%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.91%EV -5.92%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.65%EV -5.28%E -2.34%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.91%EV -5.92%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.60%E -1.59%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.42%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -3.01%E -0.782%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -6.79%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 07:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.05%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-04 08:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -7.79%E -3.54%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 07:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 07:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.68%EV -8.63%E -3.96%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.28%EV -10.20%E -3.73%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.03%EV -8.55%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 08:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 10:28 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.18%E -4.14%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 07:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.18%E -4.14%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.18%E -4.14%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 07:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.89%E -4.60%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.18%E -4.14%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -11.18%E -4.14%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.39%EV -11.98%E -5.71%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -13.49%E -5.13%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.56%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.03%EV -12.82%E -6.16%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.57%EV -14.08%E -6.87%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.09%EV -17.76%E -7.10%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.35%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-09-04 08:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.64%EV -14.08%E -6.87%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.32%EV -17.76%E -7.10%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.04%EV -19.38%E -6.06%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-09-04 08:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.64%EV -14.08%E -6.87%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.32%EV -17.76%E -7.10%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.04%EV -19.38%E -6.06%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.76% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.50% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.76% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.50% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.76% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.50% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74% | 2.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |