Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Erzgebirge Aue v Wehen Wiesbaden

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Erzgebirge Aue (Local)

Prévision 37.78%2.65cote équitable
EV -3.65%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -2.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.78%37.72%37.70%38.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.412.402.5544.44%41.56%41.67%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.35%2.83cote équitable
EV -5.97%
Avantage -2.25%
Kelly -3.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.36%35.41%35.31%36.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.552.552.6643.48%39.19%39.22%37.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.87%3.72cote équitable
EV -3.28%
Avantage -0.910%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.71%26.86%26.99%28.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.343.353.6034.72%29.98%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Erzgebirge Aue (Local) : 37.78% ; Wehen Wiesbaden (Visiteur) : 35.35% ; Match nul : 26.87%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.72. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.60, pour une espérance de -3.28% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.28%E -0.910%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 23:05
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.36%EV -5.97%E -2.25%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.03%EV -6.50%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 07:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.33%EV -7.39%E -2.82%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 10:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.33%EV -7.39%E -2.82%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 10:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.33%E -2.39%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 12:05
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -8.10%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 12:09
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.39%E -2.82%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 17:45
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.39%E -2.82%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 06:45
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 06:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 06:45
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 06:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 06:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 06:45
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 06:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 06:45
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 06:45
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 06:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 06:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 06:45
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.10%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 17:58
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 12:07
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.63%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 22:03
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -7.39%E -2.82%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -7.39%E -2.82%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -7.39%E -2.82%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 37.57%EV -9.70%E -4.06%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 12:14
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -8.10%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 06:19
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -11.63%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -8.10%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 18:45
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -8.10%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 18:45
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -10.45%E -4.41%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -8.10%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -10.45%E -4.41%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -8.10%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 18:45
Suprabets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 37.50%EV -10.83%E -4.59%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 35.26%EV -11.28%E -4.49%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-21 18:44
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -11.21%E -4.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.63%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 11:15
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.10%E -5.69%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.63%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -13.10%E -5.69%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -13.40%E -5.47%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 17:45
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -13.10%E -5.69%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -13.40%E -5.47%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-19 17:55
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.87%EV -14.99%E -6.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -15.16%E -6.32%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.63%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-20 06:40
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 36.98%EV -14.99%E -6.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -18.70%E -8.13%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -16.71%E -5.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-24 02:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 36.78%EV -14.99%E -6.66%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.48%EV -15.16%E -6.32%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.74%EV -22.62%E -7.85%K -12.03%G +0.000%20.8%2026-04-19 18:08
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%10.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 36.67%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%10.9%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 36.67%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%10.9%2026-04-24 03:20