Idioma:Español
Erzgebirge Aue v Wehen Wiesbaden
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Erzgebirge Aue (Local)
Predicción 37.78%2.65momio equitativo
EV -3.65%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -2.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.78%37.72%37.70%38.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.412.402.5544.44%41.56%41.67%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Wehen Wiesbaden (Visitante)
Predicción 35.35%2.83momio equitativo
EV -5.97%
Ventaja -2.25%
Kelly -3.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.36%35.41%35.31%36.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.552.552.6643.48%39.19%39.22%37.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.87%3.72momio equitativo
EV -3.28%
Ventaja -0.910%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.71%26.86%26.99%28.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.343.353.6034.72%29.98%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Erzgebirge Aue (Local): 37.78%; Wehen Wiesbaden (Visitante): 35.35%; Empate: 26.87%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.72. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.60, con un valor esperado de -3.28%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.28%E -0.910%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.36%EV -5.97%E -2.25%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.03%EV -6.50%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 07:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.33%EV -7.39%E -2.82%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 10:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.33%EV -7.39%E -2.82%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.33%E -2.39%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 12:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -8.10%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 12:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.39%E -2.82%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 17:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.39%E -2.82%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 06:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 06:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 06:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 06:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 06:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 06:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 06:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 06:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 06:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 06:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 06:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 06:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.10%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 17:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 12:07 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.63%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-20 22:03 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -7.39%E -2.82%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -7.39%E -2.82%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -7.39%E -2.82%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 37.57%EV -9.70%E -4.06%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 12:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -8.10%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 06:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -11.63%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -8.10%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -8.10%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -10.45%E -4.41%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -8.10%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -10.45%E -4.41%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -8.10%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 37.50%EV -10.83%E -4.59%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 35.26%EV -11.28%E -4.49%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -11.21%E -4.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.63%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.10%E -5.69%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.63%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-19 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -13.10%E -5.69%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -13.40%E -5.47%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 17:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -13.10%E -5.69%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -13.40%E -5.47%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-19 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.87%EV -14.99%E -6.66%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -15.16%E -6.32%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.63%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-04-20 06:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.98%EV -14.99%E -6.66%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -18.70%E -8.13%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -16.71%E -5.39%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-04-24 02:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.78%EV -14.99%E -6.66%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.48%EV -15.16%E -6.32%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.74%EV -22.62%E -7.85%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 20.8% | 2026-04-19 18:08 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81% | 10.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 36.67% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64% | 10.9% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 36.67% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64% | 10.9% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |