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Alemannia Aachen v SV Meppen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alemannia Aachen (Local)
Prediction 60.76%1.65fair odd
EV -5.22%
Edge -3.34%
Kelly -9.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.72%60.69%60.75%63.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.481.501.5671.43%67.35%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SV Meppen (Visit)
Prediction 17.98%5.56fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.199%
Kelly -0.243%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.62%18.02%17.94%19.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.335.085.105.5023.09%19.70%19.61%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.26%4.70fair odd
EV -0.085%
Edge -0.018%
Kelly -0.023%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.85%21.28%21.31%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.284.304.7027.78%23.37%23.26%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alemannia Aachen (Local): 60.76%; SV Meppen (Visit): 17.98%; Draw: 21.26%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.704. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.700, with an expected value of -0.085%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -5.22%E -3.34%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -8.29%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -8.59%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -5.22%E -3.34%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -8.29%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -8.59%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -5.82%E -3.76%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.52%EV -2.71%E -0.501%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.34%EV -5.61%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -7.04%E -4.60%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -5.59%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -8.59%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.04%E -4.60%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -7.95%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.04%E -4.60%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -17.09%E -4.38%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.04%E -4.60%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -17.09%E -4.38%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.04%E -4.60%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -17.09%E -4.38%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.67%EV -7.65%E -5.03%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.29%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -0.085%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -7.65%E -5.03%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -5.59%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -7.65%E -5.03%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -5.59%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.53%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.49%EV -7.65%E -5.03%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV -11.88%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -12.84%E -3.13%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -7.65%E -5.03%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -14.97%E -3.74%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.78%EV -8.25%E -5.47%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.40%EV -8.25%E -5.47%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -8.29%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -8.86%E -5.91%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -6.49%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -0.085%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.91%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -8.29%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.65%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.91%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -8.29%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.65%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -8.86%E -5.91%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -11.88%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -8.59%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.86%E -5.91%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -8.86%E -5.91%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -8.86%E -5.91%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -8.86%E -5.91%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -8.86%E -5.91%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -10.08%E -6.81%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 11:46 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -11.29%E -7.73%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -11.29%E -7.73%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -11.29%E -7.73%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 11:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -11.90%E -8.21%K -26.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 11:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -11.90%E -8.21%K -26.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -11.90%E -8.21%K -26.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 11:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -11.90%E -8.21%K -26.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 11:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -11.90%E -8.21%K -26.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 11:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -11.90%E -8.21%K -26.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 11:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -11.90%E -8.21%K -26.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 11:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -12.51%E -8.69%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -7.95%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 11:46 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -12.51%E -8.69%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -7.95%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 11:46 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.77%EV -12.51%E -8.69%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.71%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -14.97%E -3.74%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-08-29 11:46 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 57.72%EV -12.51%E -8.69%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.19%EV -22.13%E -5.11%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.09%EV -23.47%E -6.52%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-08-29 11:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.41%EV -13.12%E -9.17%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -11.88%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.66%EV -9.65%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.74%EV -14.33%E -10.16%K -34.95%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.69%EV -4.69%E -0.885%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.57%EV -8.59%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.35%EV -14.94%E -10.67%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.18%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.47%EV -14.97%E -3.74%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.61%EV -14.94%E -10.67%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.14%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.25%EV -20.28%E -5.41%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.64% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.64% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.64% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |