Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alemannia Aachen v SV Meppen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 12:00 UTC

Score final : Alemannia Aachen 0–3 SV Meppen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alemannia Aachen (Local)

Prévision 60.76%1.65cote équitable
EV -5.22%
Avantage -3.34%
Kelly -9.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.72%60.69%60.75%63.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.481.501.5671.43%67.35%66.67%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SV Meppen (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.98%5.56cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.199%
Kelly -0.243%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.62%18.02%17.94%19.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.335.085.105.5023.09%19.70%19.61%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.26%4.70cote équitable
EV -0.085%
Avantage -0.018%
Kelly -0.023%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.85%21.28%21.31%23.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.284.304.7027.78%23.37%23.26%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alemannia Aachen (Local) : 60.76% ; SV Meppen (Visiteur) : 17.98% ; Match nul : 21.26%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.704. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.700, pour une espérance de -0.085% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -5.22%E -3.34%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -8.29%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -8.59%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -5.22%E -3.34%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -8.29%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -8.59%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 11:50
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -5.82%E -3.76%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.52%EV -2.71%E -0.501%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.34%EV -5.61%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 11:55
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -7.04%E -4.60%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -5.59%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -8.59%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 11:50
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.04%E -4.60%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -7.95%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 11:55
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.04%E -4.60%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -17.09%E -4.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.04%E -4.60%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -17.09%E -4.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.04%E -4.60%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -13.68%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -17.09%E -4.38%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.67%EV -7.65%E -5.03%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.29%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -0.085%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 11:50
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -7.65%E -5.03%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -5.59%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 11:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -7.65%E -5.03%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -5.59%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.53%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 11:50
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.49%EV -7.65%E -5.03%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV -11.88%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -12.84%E -3.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 11:55
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -7.65%E -5.03%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -14.97%E -3.74%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 11:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.78%EV -8.25%E -5.47%K -16.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 11:40
Suprabets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.40%EV -8.25%E -5.47%K -16.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -8.29%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -8.86%E -5.91%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -6.49%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -0.085%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.91%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -8.29%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.65%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 11:51
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.71%EV -8.86%E -5.91%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -8.29%E -1.62%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.65%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 11:55
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -8.86%E -5.91%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -11.88%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -8.59%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.86%E -5.91%K -17.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -8.86%E -5.91%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 11:35
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -8.86%E -5.91%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -8.86%E -5.91%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 11:35
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -8.86%E -5.91%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 11:40
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -10.08%E -6.81%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 11:46
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -11.29%E -7.73%K -24.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:01
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -11.29%E -7.73%K -24.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -11.29%E -7.73%K -24.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 11:01
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -11.90%E -8.21%K -26.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 11:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -11.90%E -8.21%K -26.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 11:05
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -11.90%E -8.21%K -26.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 11:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -11.90%E -8.21%K -26.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 11:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -11.90%E -8.21%K -26.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 11:01
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -11.90%E -8.21%K -26.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 11:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -11.90%E -8.21%K -26.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -1.09%E -0.199%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 11:01
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -12.51%E -8.69%K -28.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -7.95%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 11:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -12.51%E -8.69%K -28.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -7.95%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 11:46
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.77%EV -12.51%E -8.69%K -28.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.71%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -14.97%E -3.74%K -4.99%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-29 11:46
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 57.72%EV -12.51%E -8.69%K -28.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.19%EV -22.13%E -5.11%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.09%EV -23.47%E -6.52%K -9.03%G +0.000%20.3%2026-08-29 11:53
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.41%EV -13.12%E -9.17%K -30.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -11.88%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.66%EV -9.65%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-29 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.74%EV -14.33%E -10.16%K -34.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.69%EV -4.69%E -0.885%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.57%EV -8.59%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 11:00
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.35%EV -14.94%E -10.67%K -37.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.18%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.47%EV -14.97%E -3.74%K -4.99%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-29 11:55
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.61%EV -14.94%E -10.67%K -37.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.14%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.25%EV -20.28%E -5.41%K -7.37%G +0.000%19.8%2026-08-29 11:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.64%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85%2.0%2026-08-29 11:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.64%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85%2.0%2026-08-29 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.64%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.50%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85%2.0%2026-08-29 11:51