Language:English
Alemannia Aachen v Jahn Regensburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alemannia Aachen (Local)
Prediction 50.92%1.96fair odd
EV -5.81%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -6.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.90%50.99%50.97%53.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.771.751.8560.61%56.63%57.14%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jahn Regensburg (Visit)
Prediction 24.62%4.06fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.313%
Kelly -0.417%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.98%24.60%24.61%26.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.723.704.0132.05%26.92%27.03%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.46%4.09fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.540%
Kelly -0.720%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%24.41%24.43%25.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.753.754.0029.41%26.66%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alemannia Aachen (Local): 50.92%; Jahn Regensburg (Visit): 24.62%; Draw: 24.46%. For Jahn Regensburg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.01, with an expected value of -1.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.33%EV -5.81%E -3.14%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.68%EV -1.26%E -0.313%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 14:26 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.58%EV -6.32%E -3.43%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.47%EV -6.32%E -3.43%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.82%E -3.73%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.82%E -3.73%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.82%E -3.73%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.82%E -3.73%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.12%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -6.82%E -3.73%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -6.82%E -3.73%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -6.82%E -3.73%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%EV -7.33%E -4.03%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -10.72%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%EV -7.33%E -4.03%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -10.72%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -7.33%E -4.03%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.94%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%EV -7.84%E -4.33%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.14%EV -11.46%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.35%E -4.64%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.16%E -0.540%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -8.35%E -4.64%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -8.35%E -4.64%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.72%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 14:22 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.16%EV -8.35%E -4.64%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -12.58%E -3.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -8.35%E -4.64%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.81%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.76%EV -8.86%E -4.95%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 23.79%EV -5.93%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 25.45%EV -12.68%E -3.55%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -9.88%E -5.58%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -3.96%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -2.16%E -0.540%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -10.90%E -6.23%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-12 14:06 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -10.90%E -6.23%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -10.90%E -6.23%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.81%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -10.90%E -6.23%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.81%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -10.90%E -6.23%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.81%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -10.90%E -6.23%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.81%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.83%EV -11.41%E -6.56%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -11.92%E -6.89%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -13.81%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.28%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -11.94%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.98%EV -13.44%E -7.91%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.75%EV -18.74%E -5.68%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.28%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 48.90%EV -13.44%E -7.91%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.65%EV -23.17%E -7.43%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.45%EV -16.84%E -4.95%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-09-12 14:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 48.90%EV -13.44%E -7.91%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.65%EV -23.17%E -7.43%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.45%EV -16.84%E -4.95%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.68%EV -15.99%E -9.69%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-09-12 14:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58% | 1.7% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58% | 1.7% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |