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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Alemannia Aachen v Jahn Regensburg

Início: 2026-09-12 14:30 UTC

Final: Alemannia Aachen 2–2 Jahn Regensburg

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alemannia Aachen (Local)

Previsão 50.92%1.96odd justa
EV -5.81%
Vantagem -3.14%
Kelly -6.83%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.90%50.99%50.97%53.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.771.751.8560.61%56.63%57.14%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jahn Regensburg (Visitante)

Previsão 24.62%4.06odd justa
EV -1.26%
Vantagem -0.313%
Kelly -0.417%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.98%24.60%24.61%26.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.123.723.704.0132.05%26.92%27.03%24.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.46%4.09odd justa
EV -2.16%
Vantagem -0.540%
Kelly -0.720%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.08%24.41%24.43%25.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.753.754.0029.41%26.66%26.67%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alemannia Aachen (Local): 50.92%; Jahn Regensburg (Visitante): 24.62%; Empate: 24.46%. Para Jahn Regensburg (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.06. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.01, com valor esperado de -1.26%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.33%EV -5.81%E -3.14%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.68%EV -1.26%E -0.313%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:26
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.58%EV -6.32%E -3.43%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.47%EV -6.32%E -3.43%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.82%E -3.73%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.82%E -3.73%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.82%E -3.73%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.82%E -3.73%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.12%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 14:25
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -6.82%E -3.73%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 14:21
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -6.82%E -3.73%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -6.82%E -3.73%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%EV -7.33%E -4.03%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -10.72%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%EV -7.33%E -4.03%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -10.72%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -7.33%E -4.03%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.94%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 14:25
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%EV -7.84%E -4.33%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.14%EV -11.46%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-12 14:25
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -8.35%E -4.64%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.16%E -0.540%K -0.720%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 14:21
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -8.35%E -4.64%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 14:21
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -8.35%E -4.64%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.72%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 14:22
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.16%EV -8.35%E -4.64%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -12.58%E -3.54%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 14:25
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -8.35%E -4.64%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.81%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Suprabets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.76%EV -8.86%E -4.95%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 23.79%EV -5.93%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.45%EV -12.68%E -3.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 14:21
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -9.88%E -5.58%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -3.96%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -2.16%E -0.540%K -0.720%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -10.90%E -6.23%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 14:06
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -10.90%E -6.23%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 14:21
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -10.90%E -6.23%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.81%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -10.90%E -6.23%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.81%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-12 14:19
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -10.90%E -6.23%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.81%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -10.90%E -6.23%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -13.81%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-12 14:21
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.83%EV -11.41%E -6.56%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -11.92%E -6.89%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -13.81%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-12 14:21
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 14:21
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 14:21
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 14:21
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 14:21
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.376%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -3.38%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 14:21
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.28%EV -12.93%E -7.56%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -11.94%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-12 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 49.98%EV -13.44%E -7.91%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.75%EV -18.74%E -5.68%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.28%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%17.7%2026-09-12 14:21
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 48.90%EV -13.44%E -7.91%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.65%EV -23.17%E -7.43%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.45%EV -16.84%E -4.95%K -7.02%G +0.000%20.3%2026-09-12 14:18
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 48.90%EV -13.44%E -7.91%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.65%EV -23.17%E -7.43%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.45%EV -16.84%E -4.95%K -7.02%G +0.000%20.3%2026-09-12 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.68%EV -15.99%E -9.69%K -24.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-09-12 14:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-09-12 14:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-09-12 14:21