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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Alemannia Aachen v Fortuna Düsseldorf

開賽時間： 2026-09-19 12:03 UTC

最終賽果： Alemannia Aachen 1–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

43 家博彩公司 (11 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Alemannia Aachen (主隊)

預測 39.77%2.51公平賠率
EV -5.34%
優勢 -2.25%
Kelly -3.87%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.38

博彩公司預測分布
38.84%39.73%39.84%41.81%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.102.252.252.3847.62%44.49%44.44%42.02%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Fortuna Düsseldorf (客隊)

預測 34.28%2.92公平賠率
EV -2.29%
優勢 -0.804%
Kelly -1.24%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.85

博彩公司預測分布
32.20%34.27%34.23%35.08%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.452.682.652.8540.82%37.31%37.74%35.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 25.95%3.85公平賠率
EV -5.04%
優勢 -1.38%
Kelly -1.90%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.66

博彩公司預測分布
25.06%26.00%25.93%27.07%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.203.483.503.6631.25%28.70%28.57%27.32%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Alemannia Aachen (主隊)：39.77%；Fortuna Düsseldorf (客隊)：34.28%；和局：25.95%。 對於「Fortuna Düsseldorf (客隊)」，該估計相當於2.92的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率：最佳賠率為2.85，期望值為-2.29%，未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (43 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.57%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.63%EV -6.75%E -2.48%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.30%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 12:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.57%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.63%EV -6.75%E -2.48%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.30%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 12:04
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.10%EV -4.69%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.90%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:49
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 15:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.44%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 12:05
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -6.75%E -2.48%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 22:55
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -6.75%E -2.48%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 22:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.18%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 00:19
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 19:05
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-15 17:51
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.18%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 22:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.18%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 22:41
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.18%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-17 07:01
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 12:16
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-16 19:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 22:55
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-17 09:07
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 22:00
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -9.83%E -3.74%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -9.83%E -3.74%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 17:40
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.18%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.18%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 17:40
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.07%EV -11.31%E -5.07%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.11%EV -10.18%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 25.83%EV -10.23%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 22:45
Suprabets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.82%EV -11.71%E -5.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 34.26%EV -11.55%E -4.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 25.92%EV -11.53%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-15 23:02
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:50
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:50
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:50
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:50
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:50
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -14.29%E -5.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-15 17:40
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -14.29%E -5.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-15 17:40
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -14.49%E -6.74%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -14.29%E -5.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-15 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.76%EV -15.68%E -7.40%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-15 19:50
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -16.48%E -7.85%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -16.01%E -6.53%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -16.98%E -5.30%K -7.72%G +0.000%19.7%2026-09-18 00:09
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -16.48%E -7.85%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -16.01%E -6.53%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -16.98%E -5.30%K -7.72%G +0.000%19.7%2026-09-18 00:09
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.32%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%7.8%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.32%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%7.8%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.32%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%7.8%2026-09-18 15:25