The School of Oddsspelodds.com
StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)
+ Ny modellAlla modeller

Alemannia Aachen v Fortuna Düsseldorf

Matchstart: 2026-09-19 12:03 UTC

Slutresultat: Alemannia Aachen 1–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

43 spelbolag (11 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alemannia Aachen (Hemma)

Prognos 39.77%2.51rättvist odds
EV -5.34%
Fördel -2.25%
Kelly -3.87%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.84%39.73%39.84%41.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.252.252.3847.62%44.49%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Borta)

Prognos 34.28%2.92rättvist odds
EV -2.29%
Fördel -0.804%
Kelly -1.24%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.20%34.27%34.23%35.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.452.682.652.8540.82%37.31%37.74%35.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.95%3.85rättvist odds
EV -5.04%
Fördel -1.38%
Kelly -1.90%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.66

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.06%26.00%25.93%27.07%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.483.503.6631.25%28.70%28.57%27.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alemannia Aachen (Hemma): 39.77%; Fortuna Düsseldorf (Borta): 34.28%; Oavgjort: 25.95%. För Fortuna Düsseldorf (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.92. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.85, med väntevärdet -2.29%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (43 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.57%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.63%EV -6.75%E -2.48%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.30%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 12:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.57%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.63%EV -6.75%E -2.48%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.30%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 12:04
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.10%EV -4.69%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.90%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:49
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 15:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.44%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 12:05
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -6.75%E -2.48%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 22:55
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -6.75%E -2.48%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 22:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.18%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 00:19
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 19:05
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-15 17:51
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.18%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 22:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.18%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 22:41
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.18%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-17 07:01
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 12:16
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-16 19:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-15 22:55
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -9.15%E -3.45%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-17 09:07
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.86%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 22:00
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -9.83%E -3.74%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -9.83%E -3.74%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 17:40
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.18%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.18%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 17:40
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.07%EV -11.31%E -5.07%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.11%EV -10.18%E -3.88%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 25.83%EV -10.23%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 22:45
Suprabets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.82%EV -11.71%E -5.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 34.26%EV -11.55%E -4.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 25.92%EV -11.53%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-15 23:02
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:50
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:50
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:50
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:50
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -2.29%E -0.804%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.89%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 19:50
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -14.29%E -5.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-15 17:40
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -14.29%E -5.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -14.38%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-15 17:40
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -14.49%E -6.74%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -14.29%E -5.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-15 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.76%EV -15.68%E -7.40%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -5.72%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-15 19:50
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -16.48%E -7.85%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -16.01%E -6.53%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -16.98%E -5.30%K -7.72%G +0.000%19.7%2026-09-18 00:09
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -16.48%E -7.85%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -16.01%E -6.53%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -16.98%E -5.30%K -7.72%G +0.000%19.7%2026-09-18 00:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.32%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%7.8%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.32%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%7.8%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.32%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%7.8%2026-09-18 15:25