Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Saarbrücken v TSV 1860 München

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 12:00 UTC

Final: 1. FC Saarbrücken 0–0 TSV 1860 München

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)

Prediction 43.73%2.29fair odd
EV -5.10%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -4.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.45%43.80%43.70%46.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.052.052.1752.36%48.88%48.78%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TSV 1860 München (Visit)

Prediction 30.01%3.33fair odd
EV -0.976%
Edge -0.296%
Kelly -0.425%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.36%30.05%29.98%32.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.053.053.3037.04%32.80%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.26%3.81fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.405%
Kelly -0.553%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.77%26.15%26.32%27.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.483.503.7533.33%28.71%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local): 43.73%; TSV 1860 München (Visit): 30.01%; Draw: 26.26%. For TSV 1860 München (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -0.976%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.99%EV -5.10%E -2.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.28%EV -2.18%E -0.668%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.74%EV -6.25%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 10:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -12.98%E -4.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -1.52%E -0.405%K -0.553%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 08:01
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.98%E -4.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 11:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -6.41%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -2.48%E -0.762%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 10:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -6.41%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -2.48%E -0.762%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 10:55
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.98%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 08:00
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.98%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 08:00
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 09:00
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -12.02%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 08:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.40%E -2.72%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 08:00
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -13.58%E -4.72%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 08:59
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 07:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 08:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.58%E -4.72%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.58%E -4.72%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -13.88%E -4.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -13.88%E -4.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Suprabets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.88%EV -9.48%E -4.58%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 29.40%EV -7.28%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 10:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -0.976%E -0.296%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:15
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 08:49
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 08:57
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -12.98%E -4.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 09:00
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -13.58%E -4.72%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 09:13
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -12.54%E -6.27%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -15.98%E -5.71%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-18 09:15
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -12.54%E -6.27%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -15.98%E -5.71%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-18 09:00
LeoVegas🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -13.85%E -7.03%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -13.85%E -7.03%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -13.85%E -7.03%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -13.85%E -7.03%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -14.29%E -7.29%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 11:30
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -14.29%E -7.29%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -14.29%E -7.29%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 11:30
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -14.29%E -7.29%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -14.29%E -7.29%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 11:30
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -14.29%E -7.29%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 11:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -14.29%E -7.29%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 11:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -14.29%E -7.29%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 11:30
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.09%EV -14.72%E -7.55%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -13.58%E -4.72%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.05%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-18 07:30
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 42.60%EV -14.72%E -7.55%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -18.98%E -7.03%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.63%EV -18.06%E -5.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-18 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -16.47%E -8.62%K -18.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -15.98%E -5.71%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -21.22%E -7.07%K -10.61%G +0.000%21.4%2026-04-18 09:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%1.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%1.9%2026-04-18 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%1.9%2026-04-18 11:00