La escuela de los momiosEspañol
1. FC Saarbrücken v TSV 1860 München
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)
Predicción 43.73%2.29momio equitativo
EV -5.10%
Ventaja -2.35%
Kelly -4.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.45%43.80%43.70%46.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.052.052.1752.36%48.88%48.78%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
TSV 1860 München (Visitante)
Predicción 30.01%3.33momio equitativo
EV -0.976%
Ventaja -0.296%
Kelly -0.425%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.36%30.05%29.98%32.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.053.053.3037.04%32.80%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.26%3.81momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.405%
Kelly -0.553%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.77%26.15%26.32%27.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.483.503.7533.33%28.71%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.99%EV -5.10%E -2.35%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.28%EV -2.18%E -0.668%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.74%EV -6.25%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 10:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -12.98%E -4.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -1.52%E -0.405%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 08:01 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.98%E -4.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -6.41%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -2.48%E -0.762%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -6.41%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -2.48%E -0.762%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.98%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.98%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -12.02%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.40%E -2.72%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -13.58%E -4.72%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 08:59 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 07:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.58%E -4.72%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.58%E -4.72%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -13.88%E -4.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -13.88%E -4.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Suprabets | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.88%EV -9.48%E -4.58%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 29.40%EV -7.28%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 10:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -0.976%E -0.296%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 08:49 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 08:57 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -12.98%E -4.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -13.58%E -4.72%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 09:13 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -12.54%E -6.27%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -15.98%E -5.71%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-18 09:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -12.54%E -6.27%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -15.98%E -5.71%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -13.85%E -7.03%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -13.85%E -7.03%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -13.85%E -7.03%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -13.85%E -7.03%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -14.29%E -7.29%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -14.29%E -7.29%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -14.29%E -7.29%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -14.29%E -7.29%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -14.29%E -7.29%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -14.29%E -7.29%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -14.29%E -7.29%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -14.29%E -7.29%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.46%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.09%EV -14.72%E -7.55%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -13.58%E -4.72%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.05%EV -13.34%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-18 07:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.60%EV -14.72%E -7.55%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -18.98%E -7.03%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.63%EV -18.06%E -5.79%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-04-18 10:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -16.47%E -8.62%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -15.98%E -5.71%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -21.22%E -7.07%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.61% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.61% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.61% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |