Language:English
1. FC Saarbrücken v SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)
Prediction 48.88%2.05fair odd
EV -5.66%
Edge -2.93%
Kelly -6.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.07%48.92%48.95%50.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.851.851.9358.82%53.99%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Visit)
Prediction 26.89%3.72fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.433%
Kelly -0.595%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.69%26.83%26.85%27.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.413.403.6632.26%29.36%29.41%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.23%4.13fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -0.771%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.17%24.24%24.20%25.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.703.754.0029.41%27.03%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local): 48.88%; SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Visit): 26.89%; Draw: 24.23%. For SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.66, with an expected value of -1.58%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.15%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.14%EV -4.78%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:21 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.00%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.00%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.64%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -6.64%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.20%E -4.34%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -6.64%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.20%E -4.34%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-19 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -6.64%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.20%E -4.34%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.68%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -7.61%E -4.03%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 14:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -8.10%E -4.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-19 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -8.10%E -4.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.80%EV -8.10%E -4.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -8.59%E -4.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-19 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.51%EV -9.08%E -4.88%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 09:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.51%EV -9.08%E -4.88%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 09:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.51%EV -9.08%E -4.88%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 09:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 09:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 09:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 09:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 09:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 09:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-19 14:21 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-19 14:21 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-19 14:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.48%EV -10.06%E -5.47%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 24.87%EV -11.32%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 14:11 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-19 14:22 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-19 14:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -12.01%E -6.67%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.69%EV -12.01%E -6.67%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.61%E -3.88%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -12.01%E -6.67%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.64%E -5.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.48%EV -12.50%E -6.98%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.58%E -0.433%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 24.83%EV -11.81%E -3.24%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-19 14:16 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.41%EV -12.50%E -6.98%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-18 09:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 48.44%EV -14.46%E -8.26%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -16.64%E -5.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.22%EV -15.20%E -4.34%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-09-19 14:16 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 48.90%EV -16.90%E -9.94%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.65%EV -16.10%E -5.16%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.45%EV -17.62%E -5.18%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 48.90%EV -16.90%E -9.94%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.65%EV -16.10%E -5.16%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.45%EV -17.62%E -5.18%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-09-19 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.96% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44% | 1.6% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.96% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44% | 1.6% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.09% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38% | 1.9% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |