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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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1. FC Saarbrücken v SG Sonnenhof Großaspach

Início: 2026-09-19 14:30 UTC

Final: 1. FC Saarbrücken 2–1 SG Sonnenhof Großaspach

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)

Previsão 48.88%2.05odd justa
EV -5.66%
Vantagem -2.93%
Kelly -6.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.07%48.92%48.95%50.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.851.851.9358.82%53.99%54.05%51.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Visitante)

Previsão 26.89%3.72odd justa
EV -1.58%
Vantagem -0.433%
Kelly -0.595%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.69%26.83%26.85%27.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.413.403.6632.26%29.36%29.41%27.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.23%4.13odd justa
EV -3.08%
Vantagem -0.771%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.17%24.24%24.20%25.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.703.754.0029.41%27.03%26.67%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local): 48.88%; SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Visitante): 26.89%; Empate: 24.23%. Para SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.72. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.66, com valor esperado de -1.58%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.15%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.14%EV -4.78%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 14:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.00%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.00%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 14:26
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.64%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 14:26
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -6.64%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.20%E -4.34%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 14:26
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -6.64%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.20%E -4.34%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -6.64%E -3.47%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.20%E -4.34%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 14:26
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.68%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 14:26
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.35%E -2.80%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 14:26
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 14:26
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 14:26
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -7.61%E -4.03%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 14:24
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -8.10%E -4.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -8.10%E -4.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -11.56%E -3.17%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 14:26
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.80%EV -8.10%E -4.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 14:26
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -8.59%E -4.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.51%EV -9.08%E -4.88%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.51%EV -9.08%E -4.88%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 09:55
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.51%EV -9.08%E -4.88%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 09:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.20%E -0.888%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.08%E -0.771%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 09:55
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 09:55
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 09:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 09:55
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 14:21
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 14:26
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 14:21
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 14:25
Suprabets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.48%EV -10.06%E -5.47%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 24.87%EV -11.32%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 14:11
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -5.89%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 14:22
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -7.93%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 14:24
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -10.55%E -5.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -9.14%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 14:26
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -12.01%E -6.67%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -5.51%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 14:26
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.69%EV -12.01%E -6.67%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.61%E -3.88%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-19 14:26
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -12.01%E -6.67%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.64%E -5.37%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-19 14:26
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.48%EV -12.50%E -6.98%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.58%E -0.433%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 24.83%EV -11.81%E -3.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 14:16
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.41%EV -12.50%E -6.98%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -8.58%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -12.78%E -3.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 09:55
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.44%EV -14.46%E -8.26%K -19.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -16.64%E -5.37%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.22%EV -15.20%E -4.34%K -6.08%G +0.000%18.0%2026-09-19 14:16
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 48.90%EV -16.90%E -9.94%K -24.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.65%EV -16.10%E -5.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.45%EV -17.62%E -5.18%K -7.34%G +0.000%20.3%2026-09-19 14:02
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 48.90%EV -16.90%E -9.94%K -24.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.65%EV -16.10%E -5.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.45%EV -17.62%E -5.18%K -7.34%G +0.000%20.3%2026-09-19 14:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 49.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%1.6%2026-09-19 14:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 49.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%1.6%2026-09-19 14:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.9%2026-09-19 14:26