Language:English
1. FC Saarbrücken v Hansa Rostock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)
Prediction 38.56%2.59fair odd
EV +0.247%
Edge +0.095%
Kelly +0.154%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.10%38.57%38.55%40.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.422.402.6046.51%41.26%41.67%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hansa Rostock (Visit)
Prediction 37.39%2.67fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%37.46%37.28%38.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.392.402.5945.45%41.82%41.67%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.05%4.16fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.280%
Kelly -0.370%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.82%23.97%24.18%27.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.643.604.1133.33%27.47%27.78%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local): 38.56%; Hansa Rostock (Visit): 37.39%; Draw: 24.05%. For 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.247%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%EV -5.54%E -2.26%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -1.39%E -0.339%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.32%EV -5.92%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.01%EV -8.01%E -3.26%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.67%EV -5.00%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.32%EV -5.92%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.01%EV -8.01%E -3.26%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.67%EV -5.00%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.16%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -7.40%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.65%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -5.00%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.61%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -7.27%E -2.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.61%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -7.27%E -2.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.61%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -13.42%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.01%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 11:07 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.15%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -11.01%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 09:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.24%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.80%E -0.949%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.24%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.30%EV -8.01%E -3.26%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.61%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -8.24%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.42%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -8.24%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -8.24%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -8.62%E -3.64%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -8.62%E -3.64%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.23%EV -9.01%E -3.82%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.66%EV -3.15%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.10%EV -1.15%E -0.280%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.25%EV -9.39%E -4.00%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.45%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -11.01%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.22%EV -10.55%E -4.55%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -7.40%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 11:06 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.43%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -7.40%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.42%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.42%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.42%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.89%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.89%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -13.42%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-16 09:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-16 09:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 35.56%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.18%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.26%EV -27.85%E -9.28%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 22.3% | 2026-05-16 09:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.49%EV -17.10%E -7.96%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.59%EV -13.42%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.67%EV -17.10%E -7.96%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.14%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -20.63%E -6.25%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-05-16 11:23 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |