A Escola das Odds

1. FC Saarbrücken v Hansa Rostock

Início: 2026-05-16 11:30 UTC

Final: 1. FC Saarbrücken 3–4 Hansa Rostock

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)

Previsão 38.56%2.59odd justa
EV +0.247%
Vantagem +0.095%
Kelly +0.154%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.10%38.57%38.55%40.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.422.402.6046.51%41.26%41.67%38.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hansa Rostock (Visitante)

Previsão 37.39%2.67odd justa
EV -3.15%
Vantagem -1.22%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.14%37.46%37.28%38.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.392.402.5945.45%41.82%41.67%38.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.05%4.16odd justa
EV -1.15%
Vantagem -0.280%
Kelly -0.370%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.82%23.97%24.18%27.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.643.604.1133.33%27.47%27.78%24.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:50
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:49
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:50
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:49
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:50
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:50
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:49
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:49
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:50
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:50
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV +0.247%E +0.095%K +0.154%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:50
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%EV -5.54%E -2.26%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -1.39%E -0.339%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 11:15
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.32%EV -5.92%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.01%EV -8.01%E -3.26%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.67%EV -5.00%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:20
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.32%EV -5.92%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.01%EV -8.01%E -3.26%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.67%EV -5.00%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:20
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.16%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -7.40%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:10
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.65%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -5.00%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:15
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.61%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 11:15
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -7.27%E -2.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.61%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 11:15
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -7.27%E -2.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.61%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 11:15
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -13.42%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 11:05
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.01%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 11:07
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.15%EV -7.46%E -3.11%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -11.01%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 09:29
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.24%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.80%E -0.949%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 11:05
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.24%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.30%EV -8.01%E -3.26%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.61%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:20
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -8.24%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.42%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 11:10
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -8.24%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -8.24%E -3.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 11:05
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -8.62%E -3.64%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -8.62%E -3.64%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 11:05
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 40.23%EV -9.01%E -3.82%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.66%EV -3.15%E -1.22%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.10%EV -1.15%E -0.280%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 11:25
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.25%EV -9.39%E -4.00%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.45%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -11.01%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:10
Suprabets2.32I 43.10%NM 39.22%EV -10.55%E -4.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -7.40%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 11:06
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.43%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -7.40%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 11:15
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.42%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 11:05
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.42%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 11:15
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.42%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 11:15
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.89%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.89%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21%EV -13.42%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-16 09:30
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -15.82%E -4.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-16 09:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 35.56%EV -11.32%E -4.92%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.18%EV -17.74%E -8.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.26%EV -27.85%E -9.28%K -13.92%G +0.000%22.3%2026-05-16 09:50
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 39.49%EV -17.10%E -7.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.59%EV -13.42%E -3.73%K -5.16%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-16 11:05
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 38.67%EV -17.10%E -7.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.14%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -20.63%E -6.25%K -8.97%G +0.000%20.3%2026-05-16 11:23
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-05-16 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-05-16 11:20