Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Saarbrücken v Hansa Rostock

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 11:30 UTC

Final: 1. FC Saarbrücken 2–4 Hansa Rostock

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)

Prediction 35.68%2.80fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.821%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.65%35.70%35.90%37.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.542.552.7443.48%39.32%39.22%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hansa Rostock (Visit)

Prediction 37.15%2.69fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.44%37.11%37.18%38.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.412.432.5845.45%41.42%41.15%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.17%3.68fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.607%
Kelly -0.841%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.95%27.19%26.92%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.403.6032.26%29.78%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local): 35.68%; Hansa Rostock (Visit): 37.15%; Draw: 27.17%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -2.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -2.25%E -0.821%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.06%EV -4.52%E -1.76%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -8.16%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 11:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%EV -4.39%E -1.64%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.44%EV -4.14%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%EV -4.39%E -1.64%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.44%EV -4.14%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 11:25
Suprabets🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -6.53%E -2.49%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.96%EV -8.60%E -3.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.33%EV -12.78%E -3.98%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 11:06
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.53%E -2.49%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 11:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.19%E -0.607%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 11:10
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 11:00
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 11:00
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 11:00
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 11:05
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 11:05
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 11:05
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 11:19
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 11:05
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 11:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 11:10
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -12.69%E -5.40%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 11:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.19%E -0.607%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 11:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 21:10
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 11:05
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 04:55
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.57%E -4.86%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 11:15
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.57%E -4.86%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.57%E -4.86%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 23:00
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -11.95%E -5.04%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -11.95%E -5.04%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 23:00
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -11.52%E -4.65%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.75%EV -12.69%E -5.40%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 11:00
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -12.59%E -5.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -14.55%E -6.32%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-30 08:30
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -12.59%E -5.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.55%E -6.32%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-29 21:09
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.49%EV -14.38%E -5.99%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.03%EV -14.55%E -6.32%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.48%EV -15.77%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%17.4%2026-08-30 11:10
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -17.95%E -7.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -18.26%E -8.30%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.00%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%20.2%2026-08-30 11:18
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 35.94%EV -17.95%E -7.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.57%EV -18.26%E -8.30%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.49%EV -15.23%E -4.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%21.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-08-30 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-08-30 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-08-30 11:25