Idioma:Español
1. FC Saarbrücken v Hansa Rostock
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)
Predicción 35.68%2.80momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -0.821%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.65%35.70%35.90%37.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.542.552.7443.48%39.32%39.22%36.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Hansa Rostock (Visitante)
Predicción 37.15%2.69momio equitativo
EV -4.14%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -2.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.44%37.11%37.18%38.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.412.432.5845.45%41.42%41.15%38.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.17%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.607%
Kelly -0.841%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.95%27.19%26.92%28.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.363.403.6032.26%29.78%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local): 35.68%; Hansa Rostock (Visitante): 37.15%; Empate: 27.17%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.68. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.60, con un valor esperado de -2.19%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -2.25%E -0.821%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.06%EV -4.52%E -1.76%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -8.16%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%EV -4.39%E -1.64%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.44%EV -4.14%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.08%EV -4.39%E -1.64%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.44%EV -4.14%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -6.53%E -2.49%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 36.96%EV -8.60%E -3.50%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 28.33%EV -12.78%E -3.98%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 11:06 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.53%E -2.49%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 11:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.19%E -0.607%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -9.72%E -4.00%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 11:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 11:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.24%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 11:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 11:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 11:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 11:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.97%E -3.66%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -12.69%E -5.40%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 11:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.19%E -0.607%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 11:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 21:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 11:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 04:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 17:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.57%E -4.86%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.57%E -4.86%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.57%E -4.86%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -11.95%E -5.04%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -11.95%E -5.04%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.81%E -4.32%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.83%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -11.52%E -4.65%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.75%EV -12.69%E -5.40%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -12.59%E -5.14%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -14.55%E -6.32%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-30 08:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -12.59%E -5.14%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.55%E -6.32%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-29 21:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.49%EV -14.38%E -5.99%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.03%EV -14.55%E -6.32%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.48%EV -15.77%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-08-30 11:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -17.95%E -7.80%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.82%EV -18.26%E -8.30%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.00%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-08-30 11:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 35.94%EV -17.95%E -7.80%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.57%EV -18.26%E -8.30%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.49%EV -15.23%E -4.88%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 11:25 |