Language:English
1. FC Saarbrücken v Alemannia Aachen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)
Prediction 42.25%2.37fair odd
EV -6.21%
Edge -2.80%
Kelly -5.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.62%42.32%42.27%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.142.2250.00%46.85%46.73%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alemannia Aachen (Visit)
Prediction 31.65%3.16fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.613%
Kelly -0.904%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.05%31.56%31.61%33.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.892.903.1038.17%34.61%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.11%3.83fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.558%
Kelly -0.761%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.96%26.12%26.12%28.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.433.453.7534.72%29.18%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local): 42.25%; Alemannia Aachen (Visit): 31.65%; Draw: 26.11%. For Alemannia Aachen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -1.90%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.00%EV -6.21%E -2.80%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.99%EV -2.53%E -0.822%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -4.18%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.09%E -0.558%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-08 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.65%E -2.25%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.98%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.63%EV -7.60%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.98%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.63%EV -7.60%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.56%E -5.39%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-08 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.56%E -5.39%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-08 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.56%E -5.39%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-08 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.56%E -5.39%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-08 16:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -7.90%E -3.63%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -8.33%E -3.84%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.20%EV -10.76%E -3.82%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -8.33%E -3.84%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.20%EV -10.76%E -3.82%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.17%E -4.27%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -1.90%E -0.613%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.91%EV -9.17%E -4.27%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -4.70%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-08 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.17%E -4.27%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.17%E -4.27%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-08 14:44 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.68%EV -10.02%E -4.70%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.13%EV -7.60%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.20%EV -9.40%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 16:52 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-08 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-08 10:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-08 10:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-08 10:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-08 10:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-08 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-08 10:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-08 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-08 10:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-08 10:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-08 10:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-08 10:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-08 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-08 16:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -13.40%E -6.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-08 16:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -13.40%E -6.53%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -16.45%E -5.14%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -15.51%E -7.75%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -15.15%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.59%EV -15.51%E -7.75%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 31.75%EV -17.09%E -6.52%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.66%EV -18.54%E -5.94%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-04-08 16:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.06%EV -15.51%E -7.75%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.42%EV -14.56%E -5.39%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.52%EV -24.81%E -8.61%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-04-08 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |