La scuola delle quote

1. FC Saarbrücken v Alemannia Aachen

Inizio: 2026-04-08 17:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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40 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

1. FC Saarbrücken (Casa)

Previsione 42.25%2.37quota equa
EV -6.21%
Vantaggio -2.80%
Kelly -5.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.62%42.32%42.27%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.132.142.2250.00%46.85%46.73%45.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alemannia Aachen (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.65%3.16quota equa
EV -1.90%
Vantaggio -0.613%
Kelly -0.904%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.05%31.56%31.61%33.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.622.892.903.1038.17%34.61%34.48%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.11%3.83quota equa
EV -2.09%
Vantaggio -0.558%
Kelly -0.761%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.96%26.12%26.12%28.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.433.453.7534.72%29.18%28.99%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.00%EV -6.21%E -2.80%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.99%EV -2.53%E -0.822%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -4.18%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 16:50
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -8.86%E -3.08%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.09%E -0.558%K -0.761%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-08 16:30
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 16:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.65%E -2.25%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 16:30
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.98%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.63%EV -7.60%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 16:35
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.98%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.63%EV -7.60%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 16:30
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-08 16:50
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-08 16:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-08 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.56%E -5.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-08 16:35
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.56%E -5.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-08 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.56%E -5.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-08 16:30
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.06%E -3.21%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.56%E -5.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-08 16:30
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -7.90%E -3.63%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 16:35
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -8.33%E -3.84%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.20%EV -10.76%E -3.82%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-08 16:55
LowVig.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -8.33%E -3.84%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.20%EV -10.76%E -3.82%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-08 16:55
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.17%E -4.27%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -1.90%E -0.613%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:45
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.91%EV -9.17%E -4.27%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -4.70%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 16:30
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.17%E -4.27%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 16:50
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.17%E -4.27%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 14:44
Suprabets2.13I 46.95%NM 42.68%EV -10.02%E -4.70%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.13%EV -7.60%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.20%EV -9.40%E -2.71%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 16:52
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-08 16:25
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 10:14
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 10:14
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 10:15
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 10:14
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 10:15
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 10:14
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 10:15
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 10:14
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 10:14
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 10:14
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-08 16:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.28%E -5.37%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -8.23%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-08 16:54
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -13.40%E -6.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-08 16:44
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -13.40%E -6.53%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -16.45%E -5.14%K -7.48%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-08 16:55
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -15.51%E -7.75%K -15.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -15.15%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-08 16:55
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 41.59%EV -15.51%E -7.75%K -15.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 31.75%EV -17.09%E -6.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.66%EV -18.54%E -5.94%K -8.75%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-08 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.06%EV -15.51%E -7.75%K -15.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.42%EV -14.56%E -5.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.52%EV -24.81%E -8.61%K -13.20%G +0.000%21.8%2026-04-08 16:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-04-08 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-04-08 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-04-08 16:50