Language:English
VSG Altglienicke v VfL Wolfsburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
VSG Altglienicke (Local)
Prediction 6.29%15.90fair odd
EV +6.90%
Edge +0.406%
Kelly +0.431%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 17.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.46%6.43%6.23%7.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.7514.4315.0017.008.51%6.93%6.67%5.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
VfL Wolfsburg (Visit)
Prediction 82.93%1.21fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -3.28%
Kelly -23.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.51%82.60%83.15%84.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.121.121.1692.59%89.42%89.29%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 10.79%9.27fair odd
EV +2.47%
Edge +0.260%
Kelly +0.290%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.79%10.97%10.63%12.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.908.298.259.5014.49%12.06%12.12%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VSG Altglienicke (Local): 6.29%; VfL Wolfsburg (Visit): 82.93%; Draw: 10.79%. For VSG Altglienicke (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.90. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 17.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.90%.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +6.90%E +0.406%K +0.431%G +0.030% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -13.71%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +6.90%E +0.406%K +0.431%G +0.030% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -13.71%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +6.90%E +0.406%K +0.431%G +0.030% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -13.71%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.89%EV +0.614%E +0.038%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.92%EV +2.47%E +0.260%K +0.290%G +0.007% | 6.1% | 2026-08-24 15:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +0.614%E +0.038%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.09%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -8.32%E -0.979%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-24 15:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -5.67%E -0.378%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -2.93%E -0.325%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -5.67%E -0.378%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -2.93%E -0.325%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -5.67%E -0.378%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -8.32%E -0.979%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -5.67%E -0.378%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -8.32%E -0.979%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -5.67%E -0.378%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -8.32%E -0.979%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -5.67%E -0.378%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -8.32%E -0.979%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -5.67%E -0.378%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.20%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.36%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -5.08%E -0.578%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-24 15:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -5.67%E -0.378%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -7.95%E -7.16%K -72.30%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -13.71%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.16%EV -8.82%E -0.608%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.68%EV -10.44%E -9.67%K -130.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.16%EV -13.71%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.86%EV -11.96%E -0.854%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.76%EV -3.81%E -3.28%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.38%EV -0.230%E -0.025%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-24 15:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -18.25%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.05%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV +2.47%E +0.260%K +0.290%G +0.007% | 7.5% | 2026-08-24 15:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -18.25%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.71%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-24 15:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -18.25%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -7.95%E -7.16%K -72.30%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -13.71%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-24 15:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -18.25%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.36%EV -9.61%E -8.82%K -106.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.82%EV -19.11%E -2.55%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -18.25%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.36%EV -9.61%E -8.82%K -106.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.82%EV -19.11%E -2.55%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -18.25%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.36%EV -9.61%E -8.82%K -106.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.82%EV -19.11%E -2.55%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.77%EV -18.25%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 81.49%EV -10.44%E -9.67%K -130.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -19.11%E -2.55%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-24 15:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -24.54%E -2.04%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.89%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -8.32%E -0.979%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-24 15:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 11.75I 8.51%NM 7.58%EV -26.11%E -2.22%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.51%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.36%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 12.91%EV -25.58%E -3.71%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.