默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

VSG Altglienicke v VfL Wolfsburg

开赛时间: 2026-08-24 16:01 UTC

最终结果: VSG Altglienicke 3–3 VfL Wolfsburg

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

VSG Altglienicke (主队)

预测 6.29%15.90公平赔率
EV +6.90%
优势 +0.406%
Kelly +0.431%
增长率 +0.030%

假设最高赔率为 17.00

博彩公司预测分布
5.46%6.43%6.23%7.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
11.7514.4315.0017.008.51%6.93%6.67%5.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

VfL Wolfsburg (客队)

预测 82.93%1.21公平赔率
EV -3.81%
优势 -3.28%
Kelly -23.79%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.16

博彩公司预测分布
79.51%82.60%83.15%84.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.081.121.121.1692.59%89.42%89.29%86.21%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 10.79%9.27公平赔率
EV +2.47%
优势 +0.260%
Kelly +0.290%
增长率 +0.007%

假设最高赔率为 9.50

博彩公司预测分布
9.79%10.97%10.63%12.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.908.298.259.5014.49%12.06%12.12%10.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:VSG Altglienicke (主队):6.29%;VfL Wolfsburg (客队):82.93%;平局:10.79%。 对于“VSG Altglienicke (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为15.90。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为17.00,对应+6.90%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
888sport🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +6.90%E +0.406%K +0.431%G +0.030%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -13.71%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-24 15:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +6.90%E +0.406%K +0.431%G +0.030%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -13.71%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-24 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +6.90%E +0.406%K +0.431%G +0.030%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -13.71%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-24 15:54
Tipico (DE)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.89%EV +0.614%E +0.038%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.92%EV +2.47%E +0.260%K +0.290%G +0.007%6.1%2026-08-24 15:44
Unibet (UK)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +0.614%E +0.038%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.09%EV -6.29%E -5.57%K -48.42%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -8.32%E -0.979%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-24 15:49
Betway🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -5.67%E -0.378%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -2.93%E -0.325%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 15:54
LeoVegas🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -5.67%E -0.378%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -2.93%E -0.325%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 15:39
Unibet (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -5.67%E -0.378%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -8.32%E -0.979%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 15:39
Unibet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -5.67%E -0.378%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -8.32%E -0.979%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 15:39
ATG (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -5.67%E -0.378%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -8.32%E -0.979%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 15:39
Svenska Spel🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -5.67%E -0.378%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.64%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -8.32%E -0.979%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 15:39
Codere (IT)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -5.67%E -0.378%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.20%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.36%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -5.08%E -0.578%K -0.652%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 15:49
betfred_uk🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -5.67%E -0.378%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -7.95%E -7.16%K -72.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -13.71%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 15:39
NetBet (FR)🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.16%EV -8.82%E -0.608%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 82.68%EV -10.44%E -9.67%K -130.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.16%EV -13.71%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-24 15:54
BetMGM🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.86%EV -11.96%E -0.854%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.76%EV -3.81%E -3.28%K -23.79%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.38%EV -0.230%E -0.025%K -0.028%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-24 15:44
Winamax (DE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -18.25%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.05%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV +2.47%E +0.260%K +0.290%G +0.007%7.5%2026-08-24 15:49
Grosvenor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -18.25%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.71%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 15:24
PMU (FR)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -18.25%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -7.95%E -7.16%K -72.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -13.71%E -1.71%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 15:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -18.25%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 81.36%EV -9.61%E -8.82%K -106.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.82%EV -19.11%E -2.55%K -2.94%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-24 15:39
Virgin Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -18.25%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 81.36%EV -9.61%E -8.82%K -106.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.82%EV -19.11%E -2.55%K -2.94%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-24 15:39
LiveScore Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -18.25%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 81.36%EV -9.61%E -8.82%K -106.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.82%EV -19.11%E -2.55%K -2.94%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-24 15:39
Unibet (FR)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 6.77%EV -18.25%E -1.40%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 81.49%EV -10.44%E -9.67%K -130.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -19.11%E -2.55%K -2.94%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-24 15:49
Winamax (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -24.54%E -2.04%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 81.89%EV -8.78%E -7.98%K -87.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -8.32%E -0.979%K -1.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 15:49
Betclic (FR)🎯11.75I 8.51%NM 7.58%EV -26.11%E -2.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 79.51%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.36%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.91%EV -25.58%E -3.71%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 15:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。