Language:English
VfL Bochum v FSV Mainz 05
Head to Head
VfL Bochum (Local)
Prediction 22.35%4.47fair odd
EV +16.22%
Edge +3.12%
Kelly +3.86%
Growth +0.626%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.79%21.31%22.35%23.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.104.105.2027.40%24.37%24.39%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FSV Mainz 05 (Visit)
Prediction 53.49%1.87fair odd
EV -5.33%
Edge -3.01%
Kelly -6.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.50%55.20%53.49%61.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.671.691.7766.67%59.74%59.00%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.16%4.14fair odd
EV +8.74%
Edge +1.94%
Kelly +2.50%
Growth +0.218%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.55%23.49%24.16%25.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.753.604.5028.57%26.70%27.78%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: VfL Bochum (Local): 22.35%; FSV Mainz 05 (Visit): 53.49%; Draw: 24.16%. For VfL Bochum (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.47. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.20, producing a positive expected value of +16.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.79%EV +16.22%E +3.12%K +3.86%G +0.626% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.66%EV -19.77%E -13.18%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV +8.74%E +1.94%K +2.50%G +0.218% | 8.1% | 2026-09-19 15:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.47%E -4.32%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-02 10:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.47%E -4.32%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-02 10:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.47%E -4.32%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-02 10:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -5.33%E -3.01%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.34%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 08:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -7.47%E -4.32%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -9.39%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-02 08:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.65%EV -13.28%E -3.42%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.94%EV -11.21%E -6.75%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-02 06:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -16.19%E -4.32%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.87%EV -11.21%E -6.75%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-02 06:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.57%EV -16.19%E -4.32%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 53.24%EV -14.96%E -9.41%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.19%EV -15.43%E -4.41%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-10-02 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.59%EV -18.43%E -5.05%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 52.50%EV -12.28%E -7.49%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -13.01%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-10-02 06:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Arbitrage (5 combinations) +2.09%Tipico (DE) 5.20 (19.6%) / BetMGM 1.77 (57.7%) / Tipico (DE) 4.50 (22.7%)Show all 5 combinations
| VfL Bochum (Local) | FSV Mainz 05 (Visit) | Draw | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 5.20 (19.6%) | BetMGM🎯 1.77 (57.7%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.50 (22.7%) | +2.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 5.20 (19.4%) | LeoVegas🎯 1.73 (58.2%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.50 (22.4%) | +0.749% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 5.20 (19.4%) | 888sport🎯 1.73 (58.2%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.50 (22.4%) | +0.749% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 5.20 (19.4%) | 888sport (SE)🎯 1.73 (58.2%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.50 (22.4%) | +0.749% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 5.20 (19.4%) | Mr Green (SE)🎯 1.73 (58.2%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.50 (22.4%) | +0.749% |