預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

VfL Bochum v FSV Mainz 05

開賽時間： 2026-10-27 17:00 UTC

最終賽果： VfL Bochum 2–0 FSV Mainz 05

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

27 家博彩公司 (10 家納入分析 )

23%

53%

24%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

VfL Bochum (主隊)

預測 23.26%4.30公平賠率

EV +10.48%

優勢 +2.21%

Kelly +2.79%

成長率 +0.293%

假設最高賠率為 4.75

博彩公司預測分布

19.89%23.55%23.28%26.72%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

3.284.114.004.7530.49%24.30%25.00%21.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值

FSV Mainz 05 (客隊)

預測 52.84%1.89公平賠率

EV -4.89%

優勢 -2.72%

Kelly -6.11%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.80

博彩公司預測分布

50.09%52.57%52.75%57.61%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.571.701.741.8063.69%58.66%57.47%55.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 23.90%4.18公平賠率

EV +0.392%

優勢 +0.093%

Kelly +0.123%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.20

博彩公司預測分布

22.50%23.88%23.97%24.76%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

3.703.913.904.2027.03%25.55%25.64%23.81%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：VfL Bochum (主隊)：23.26%；FSV Mainz 05 (客隊)：52.84%；和局：23.90%。對於「VfL Bochum (主隊)」，該估計相當於4.30的公平十進位賠率。當時有7家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為4.75，對應+10.48%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (27 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊 ▼	客隊	和局	利潤率	更新時間
ATG (SE)🎯	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV +10.48%E +2.21%K +2.79%G +0.293%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.61%EV -13.34%E -8.14%K -20.85%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV +0.392%E +0.093%K +0.123%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-27 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV +10.48%E +2.21%K +2.79%G +0.293%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.61%EV -13.34%E -8.14%K -20.85%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV +0.392%E +0.093%K +0.123%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-27 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.33%E +0.531%K +0.687%G +0.016%	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -11.23%E -6.68%K -16.52%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -2.00%E -0.487%K -0.645%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-10-27 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.33%E +0.531%K +0.687%G +0.016%	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -11.23%E -6.68%K -16.52%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -2.00%E -0.487%K -0.645%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-10-27 16:55
Unibet🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV +2.33%E +0.531%K +0.687%G +0.016%	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -11.23%E -6.68%K -16.52%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -2.00%E -0.487%K -0.645%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-10-27 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.34%EV +2.33%E +0.531%K +0.687%G +0.016%	1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -17.04%E -10.86%K -29.90%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.66%EV -5.58%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-10-27 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.34%EV +2.33%E +0.531%K +0.687%G +0.016%	1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -17.04%E -10.86%K -29.90%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.66%EV -5.58%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-10-27 16:45
Pinnacle🎯	4.22I 23.70%NM 22.73%EV -1.85%E -0.439%K -0.575%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.29%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.98%EV -4.39%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-27 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.32%E -0.552%K -0.724%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.39%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-27 16:55
Grosvenor🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -2.32%E -0.552%K -0.724%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 55.22%EV -13.34%E -8.14%K -20.85%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -6.78%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-10-27 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -2.32%E -0.552%K -0.724%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -13.87%E -8.51%K -22.02%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -6.78%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-10-27 16:55
BetMGM🎯	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.64%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -6.47%E -3.66%K -8.41%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.39%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-27 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -4.64%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 55.38%EV -15.46%E -9.66%K -25.76%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -7.97%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-10-27 16:55
picklebet_au🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.97%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.78%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-27 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.97%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.78%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-27 16:50
Betway🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.97%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.47%E -3.66%K -8.41%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-27 16:50
888sport🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.97%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.56%E -3.12%K -4.28%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-10-27 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.97%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.56%E -3.12%K -4.28%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-10-27 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.97%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.56%E -3.12%K -4.28%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-10-27 16:50
betfred_uk🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -6.97%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.17%E -5.98%K -14.53%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.36%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-10-27 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -8.13%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.30%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.78%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-10-27 16:50
LeoVegas🎯	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.13%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -6.47%E -3.66%K -8.41%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.78%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-10-27 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.29%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -5.95%E -3.34%K -7.62%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.39%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-10-27 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯	3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -9.29%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 53.67%EV -12.82%E -7.77%K -19.72%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -10.36%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-10-27 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	3.90I 25.64%NM 22.25%EV -9.29%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 54.92%EV -16.51%E -10.45%K -28.47%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 22.83%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%	15.2%	2026-10-27 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -13.95%E -3.77%K -5.17%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.02%EV -8.06%E -4.63%K -10.89%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -7.97%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-10-27 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	3.28I 30.49%NM 26.72%EV -23.71%E -7.23%K -10.40%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 50.09%EV -7.53%E -4.30%K -10.04%G +0.000%	3.78I 26.46%NM 23.19%EV -9.65%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%	14.1%	2026-10-27 16:49

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。