The School of Odds

SC Verl v Hamburger SV

2026-08-24 16:00 — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: SC Verl (Local)

4.0025.00%Min
4.3822.81%Mean
4.2523.53%Median
5.0020.00%Max
18.79%5.321Min
22.00%4.545Max
20.40%4.903Mean
20.40%4.903Median
20.40%4.903IQM
20.22%4.945Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.00 under the IQM model: 20.40%

EV +1.98%Edge +0.397%Kelly +0.496%Growth +0.010%

Option 2: Hamburger SV (Visit)

1.4668.49%Min
1.5464.86%Mean
1.5465.15%Median
1.6560.61%Max
56.00%1.786Min
59.85%1.671Max
57.93%1.726Mean
57.93%1.726Median
57.93%1.726IQM
58.13%1.720Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.65 under the IQM model: 57.93%

EV -4.42%Edge -2.68%Kelly -6.80%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.9025.64%Min
4.1324.24%Mean
4.1524.10%Median
4.4022.73%Max
21.34%4.687Min
22.00%4.545Max
21.68%4.613Mean
21.68%4.613Median
21.68%4.613IQM
21.64%4.620Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.40 under the IQM model: 21.68%

EV -4.62%Edge -1.05%Kelly -1.36%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSC Verl (Local) ▼Hamburger SV (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM5.00I 20.00% NM 18.79%EV +1.98% E +0.397% K +0.496% G +0.010%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.85%EV -9.06% E -5.77% K -15.89% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.36%EV -4.62% E -1.05% K -1.36% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 10:30
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28% NM 19.61%EV -4.14% E -0.880% K -1.12% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.70%EV -9.06% E -5.77% K -15.89% G +0.000%4.25I 23.53% NM 21.69%EV -7.87% E -1.85% K -2.42% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 10:30
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26% NM 20.34%EV -12.29% E -2.86% K -3.73% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 58.32%EV -13.11% E -8.74% K -26.22% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 21.34%EV -11.12% E -2.71% K -3.59% G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-05 10:30
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81% NM 22.00%EV -14.33% E -3.41% K -4.48% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 56.00%EV -4.42% E -2.68% K -6.80% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.00%EV -8.95% E -2.13% K -2.80% G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 15:00
Unibet (FR)4.10I 24.39% NM 20.90%EV -16.37% E -3.99% K -5.28% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 57.13%EV -13.11% E -8.74% K -26.22% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 21.97%EV -15.46% E -3.96% K -5.33% G +0.000%16.7%2026-07-05 10:30
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00% NM 20.98%EV -18.41% E -4.60% K -6.14% G +0.000%1.46I 68.49% NM 57.49%EV -15.43% E -10.57% K -33.54% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 21.52%EV -15.46% E -3.96% K -5.33% G +0.000%19.1%2026-07-05 10:30
Betclic (FR)3.80I 26.32% NM 22.30%EV -22.49% E -5.92% K -8.03% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 55.39%EV -11.37% E -7.43% K -21.46% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 22.30%EV -17.62% E -4.64% K -6.29% G +0.000%18.0%2026-06-24 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth