Language:English
SC Verl v Hamburger SV
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SC Verl (Local)
Prediction 14.42%6.94fair odd
EV +3.81%
Edge +0.529%
Kelly +0.614%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 7.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.05%14.37%14.39%16.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.206.007.2018.18%16.12%16.67%13.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hamburger SV (Visit)
Prediction 68.02%1.47fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -8.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.22%67.93%68.34%69.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.371.361.4278.13%73.19%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.56%5.69fair odd
EV +1.85%
Edge +0.319%
Kelly +0.385%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 5.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.98%17.71%17.27%19.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.555.135.205.8021.98%19.51%19.23%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Verl (Local): 14.42%; Hamburger SV (Visit): 68.02%; Draw: 17.56%. For SC Verl (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.94. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.81%.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.08%EV +3.81%E +0.529%K +0.614%G +0.023% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.79%EV -8.17%E -6.05%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -3.42%E -0.621%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-24 15:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.923%E +0.132%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.42%E -0.621%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-24 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +0.923%E +0.132%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -8.17%E -6.05%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -3.42%E -0.621%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-24 15:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +0.923%E +0.132%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.53%E -7.17%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-24 15:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -1.96%E -0.288%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.04%EV -8.17%E -6.05%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -5.17%E -0.958%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -6.29%E -0.967%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -6.29%E -0.967%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -6.29%E -0.967%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.97%EV -9.17%E -1.46%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.77%EV -12.93%E -10.10%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -10.44%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-24 15:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -9.89%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.77%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +0.972%E +0.169%K +0.205%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-08-24 14:33 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -9.89%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.18%EV -8.85%E -6.60%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV +1.85%E +0.319%K +0.385%G +0.007% | 7.9% | 2026-08-24 15:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.38%EV -10.61%E -1.71%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.04%EV -9.53%E -7.17%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.58%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -13.49%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -3.41%E -2.40%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -13.49%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -3.41%E -2.40%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -13.49%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -3.41%E -2.40%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -13.49%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -3.41%E -2.40%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -13.49%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -3.41%E -2.40%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -13.49%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.77%E -3.41%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.81%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -13.49%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.29%EV -10.21%E -7.74%K -31.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -5.17%E -0.958%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-24 15:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.14%EV -14.94%E -2.53%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.22%EV -6.81%E -4.97%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.64%EV -20.10%E -4.42%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.13%EV -19.26%E -3.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.44%EV -6.13%E -4.44%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -13.95%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.13%EV -19.26%E -3.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.44%EV -6.13%E -4.44%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -13.95%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -20.70%E -3.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.33%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -20.70%E -3.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.33%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -20.70%E -3.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.33%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.