语言:简体中文
SC Verl v Hamburger SV
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
SC Verl (主队)
预测 14.42%6.94公平赔率
EV +3.81%
优势 +0.529%
Kelly +0.614%
增长率 +0.023%
假设最高赔率为 7.20
博彩公司预测分布
13.05%14.37%14.39%16.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.206.007.2018.18%16.12%16.67%13.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
Hamburger SV (客队)
预测 68.02%1.47公平赔率
EV -3.41%
优势 -2.40%
Kelly -8.12%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.42
博彩公司预测分布
65.22%67.93%68.34%69.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.281.371.361.4278.13%73.19%73.53%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 17.56%5.69公平赔率
EV +1.85%
优势 +0.319%
Kelly +0.385%
增长率 +0.007%
假设最高赔率为 5.80
博彩公司预测分布
15.98%17.71%17.27%19.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.555.135.205.8021.98%19.51%19.23%17.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：SC Verl (主队)：14.42%；Hamburger SV (客队)：68.02%；平局：17.56%。 对于“SC Verl (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.94。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.20，对应+3.81%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.08%EV +3.81%E +0.529%K +0.614%G +0.023% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.79%EV -8.17%E -6.05%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -3.42%E -0.621%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-24 15:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +0.923%E +0.132%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.42%E -0.621%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-24 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +0.923%E +0.132%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -8.17%E -6.05%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -3.42%E -0.621%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-24 15:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +0.923%E +0.132%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.53%E -7.17%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-24 15:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -1.96%E -0.288%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.04%EV -8.17%E -6.05%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -5.17%E -0.958%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -6.29%E -0.967%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -6.29%E -0.967%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -6.29%E -0.967%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.97%EV -9.17%E -1.46%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.77%EV -12.93%E -10.10%K -46.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -10.44%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-24 15:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -9.89%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.77%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +0.972%E +0.169%K +0.205%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-08-24 14:33 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -9.89%E -1.58%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.18%EV -8.85%E -6.60%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.98%EV +1.85%E +0.319%K +0.385%G +0.007% | 7.9% | 2026-08-24 15:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.38%EV -10.61%E -1.71%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.04%EV -9.53%E -7.17%K -28.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.58%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -13.49%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -3.41%E -2.40%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -13.49%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -3.41%E -2.40%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -13.49%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -3.41%E -2.40%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -13.49%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -3.41%E -2.40%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -13.49%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -3.41%E -2.40%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -13.49%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.77%E -3.41%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.81%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -13.49%E -2.25%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.29%EV -10.21%E -7.74%K -31.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -5.17%E -0.958%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-24 15:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.14%EV -14.94%E -2.53%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.22%EV -6.81%E -4.97%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.64%EV -20.10%E -4.42%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.13%EV -19.26%E -3.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.44%EV -6.13%E -4.44%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -13.95%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.13%EV -19.26%E -3.44%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.44%EV -6.13%E -4.44%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -13.95%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -20.70%E -3.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.33%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -20.70%E -3.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.33%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -20.70%E -3.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.33%EV -7.49%E -5.51%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -15.71%E -3.27%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。