默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SC Paderborn v VfB Stuttgart

2026-10-28 17:00 UTC — DFB-Pokal

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SC Paderborn (主队)

预测 17.88%5.59公平赔率
EV +2.83%
优势 +0.493%
Kelly +0.596%
增长率 +0.017%

假设最高赔率为 5.75

博彩公司预测分布
16.57%17.82%17.97%19.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.115.005.7521.74%19.57%20.00%17.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

VfB Stuttgart (客队)

预测 60.87%1.64公平赔率
EV -6.25%
优势 -4.06%
Kelly -11.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.54

博彩公司预测分布
59.22%60.81%60.84%62.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.501.511.5471.43%66.55%66.23%64.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.24%4.71公平赔率
EV -4.41%
优势 -0.980%
Kelly -1.26%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布
20.83%21.37%21.20%22.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.204.284.5025.00%23.79%23.39%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:SC Paderborn (主队):17.88%;VfB Stuttgart (客队):60.87%;平局:21.24%。 对于“SC Paderborn (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.59。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为5.75,由此产生+2.83%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV +2.83%E +0.493%K +0.596%G +0.017%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -6.86%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -4.41%E -0.980%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 13:33
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.64%E -0.298%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -7.47%E -4.92%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.41%E -0.980%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 06:50
Unibet (NL)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -5.22%E -0.984%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.66%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -5.22%E -0.984%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.66%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 18:00
Unibet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -5.22%E -0.984%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.66%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -5.22%E -0.984%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.66%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -5.22%E -0.984%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.66%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 18:00
LeoVegas🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -6.11%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -7.47%E -4.92%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.66%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-23 10:44
Betclic (FR)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -6.11%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.50%EV -9.91%E -6.69%K -20.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -8.66%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-22 09:49
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.76%EV -7.00%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.76%EV -7.47%E -4.92%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -8.66%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-23 10:10
PMU (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -8.69%E -5.79%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.91%E -3.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-21 18:00
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -8.69%E -5.79%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.91%E -3.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-21 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.18%EV -7.47%E -4.92%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -9.72%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-22 09:49
picklebet_au🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.69%E -5.79%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.02%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-22 09:50
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.69%E -5.79%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.02%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-21 12:15
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.86%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-19 10:05
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.86%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-19 10:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.86%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-19 10:05
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.69%E -5.79%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-19 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -10.51%E -7.15%K -22.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-21 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -10.51%E -7.15%K -22.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-21 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -10.51%E -7.15%K -22.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-21 18:00
NetBet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.69%EV -12.37%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 60.63%EV -12.95%E -9.06%K -30.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.68%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-23 21:20
Unibet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.56%EV -12.37%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.46%EV -14.78%E -10.55%K -36.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.99%EV -12.91%E -3.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-22 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.51%EV -9.91%E -6.69%K -20.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -8.66%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-22 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -17.73%E -3.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.90%EV -10.51%E -7.15%K -22.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-22 23:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。