Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

SC Paderborn v VfB Stuttgart

2026-10-28 17:00 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Testa a testa

26 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

SC Paderborn (Casa)

Previsione 17.88%5.59quota equa
EV +2.83%
Vantaggio +0.493%
Kelly +0.596%
Crescita +0.017%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.57%17.82%17.97%19.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.115.005.7521.74%19.57%20.00%17.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

VfB Stuttgart (Trasferta)

Previsione 60.87%1.64quota equa
EV -6.25%
Vantaggio -4.06%
Kelly -11.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.22%60.81%60.84%62.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.501.511.5471.43%66.55%66.23%64.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.24%4.71quota equa
EV -4.41%
Vantaggio -0.980%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.83%21.37%21.20%22.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.204.284.5025.00%23.79%23.39%22.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: SC Paderborn (Casa): 17.88%; VfB Stuttgart (Trasferta): 60.87%; Pareggio: 21.24%. Per SC Paderborn (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 5.59. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 5.75, con un valore atteso positivo del +2.83%.

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV +2.83%E +0.493%K +0.596%G +0.017%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -6.86%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -4.41%E -0.980%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 13:33
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.64%E -0.298%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -7.47%E -4.92%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.41%E -0.980%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 06:50
Unibet (NL)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -5.22%E -0.984%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.66%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -5.22%E -0.984%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.66%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 18:00
Unibet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -5.22%E -0.984%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.66%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -5.22%E -0.984%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.66%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -5.22%E -0.984%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -8.66%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 18:00
LeoVegas🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -6.11%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -7.47%E -4.92%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.66%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-23 10:44
Betclic (FR)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -6.11%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.50%EV -9.91%E -6.69%K -20.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -8.66%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-22 09:49
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.76%EV -7.00%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.76%EV -7.47%E -4.92%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -8.66%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-23 10:10
PMU (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -8.69%E -5.79%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.91%E -3.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-21 18:00
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -8.69%E -5.79%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.91%E -3.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-21 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.18%EV -7.47%E -4.92%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -9.72%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-22 09:49
picklebet_au🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.69%E -5.79%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.02%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-22 09:50
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.69%E -5.79%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -8.02%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-21 12:15
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.86%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-19 10:05
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.86%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-19 10:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.86%E -4.49%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-19 10:05
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.69%E -5.79%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-19 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -10.51%E -7.15%K -22.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-21 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -10.51%E -7.15%K -22.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-21 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -10.51%E -7.15%K -22.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-21 18:00
NetBet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.69%EV -12.37%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 60.63%EV -12.95%E -9.06%K -30.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.68%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-23 21:20
Unibet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.56%EV -12.37%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.46%EV -14.78%E -10.55%K -36.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.99%EV -12.91%E -3.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-22 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.51%EV -9.91%E -6.69%K -20.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -8.66%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-22 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -17.73%E -3.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.90%EV -10.51%E -7.15%K -22.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-22 23:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.