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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Rot-Weiss Essen v RB Leipzig

开赛时间： 2026-10-27 17:00 UTC

最终结果： Rot-Weiss Essen 1–2 RB Leipzig

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rot-Weiss Essen (主队)

预测 7.85%12.73公平赔率
EV +10.59%
优势 +0.752%
Kelly +0.810%
增长率 +0.086%

假设最高赔率为 14.08

博彩公司预测分布
6.75%7.88%7.80%9.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.7512.4812.5014.0810.26%8.02%8.00%7.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

RB Leipzig (客队)

预测 79.76%1.25公平赔率
EV -5.09%
优势 -4.28%
Kelly -26.80%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.19

博彩公司预测分布
77.22%79.68%79.71%81.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.101.151.161.1990.91%86.79%86.21%84.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 12.39%8.07公平赔率
EV +11.51%
优势 +1.28%
Kelly +1.44%
增长率 +0.166%

假设最高赔率为 9.00

博彩公司预测分布
10.44%12.44%12.49%13.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.407.607.509.0015.63%13.15%13.33%11.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Rot-Weiss Essen (主队)：7.85%；RB Leipzig (客队)：79.76%；平局：12.39%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.07。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.00，对应+11.51%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Winamax (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -5.74%E -0.479%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.73%EV -8.28%E -7.20%K -55.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +11.51%E +1.28%K +1.44%G +0.166%6.4%2026-10-27 15:45
BetMGM🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -13.60%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.85%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +2.22%E +0.269%K +0.306%G +0.007%5.2%2026-10-27 16:42
Unibet (SE)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +9.97%E +0.712%K +0.767%G +0.076%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -7.48%E -6.45%K -46.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.879%E -0.110%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +9.97%E +0.712%K +0.767%G +0.076%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -7.48%E -6.45%K -46.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.879%E -0.110%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +9.97%E +0.712%K +0.767%G +0.076%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -7.48%E -6.45%K -46.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.879%E -0.110%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 16:55
Unibet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +9.97%E +0.712%K +0.767%G +0.076%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -7.48%E -6.45%K -46.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.879%E -0.110%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +9.97%E +0.712%K +0.767%G +0.076%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -7.48%E -6.45%K -46.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.879%E -0.110%K -0.126%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 16:55
picklebet_au🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV -1.82%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.65%EV -6.69%E -5.71%K -39.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.879%E -0.110%K -0.126%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 15:44
LeoVegas🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -5.74%E -0.479%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.69%E -5.71%K -39.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -0.879%E -0.110%K -0.126%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-27 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.62%EV -17.53%E -1.67%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.07%EV -9.88%E -8.74%K -75.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -0.879%E -0.110%K -0.126%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-27 15:44
Tipico (DE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +2.11%E +0.162%K +0.176%G +0.004%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.65%EV -6.69%E -5.71%K -39.33%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.10%EV -3.36%E -0.430%K -0.494%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV -5.74%E -0.479%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.16%EV -6.69%E -5.71%K -39.33%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.02%EV -3.36%E -0.430%K -0.494%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-27 15:45
Pinnacle🎯14.08I 7.10%NM 6.76%EV +10.59%E +0.752%K +0.810%G +0.086%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.64%EV -5.89%E -4.99%K -32.72%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.60%EV -6.45%E -0.855%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-27 16:55
Betway🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -5.74%E -0.479%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.89%E -4.99%K -32.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -7.07%E -0.943%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +2.11%E +0.162%K +0.176%G +0.004%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.69%E -5.71%K -39.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -7.07%E -0.943%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-27 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -1.82%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.58%EV -9.88%E -8.74%K -75.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -7.07%E -0.943%K -1.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-27 16:55
Grosvenor🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -1.82%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.58%EV -9.88%E -8.74%K -75.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -7.07%E -0.943%K -1.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-27 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -1.82%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.71%EV -10.67%E -9.53%K -88.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -7.07%E -0.943%K -1.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-27 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -1.82%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.71%EV -10.67%E -9.53%K -88.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -7.07%E -0.943%K -1.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-27 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.18%EV -1.82%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 80.85%EV -11.47%E -10.33%K -104.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -7.07%E -0.943%K -1.09%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-27 16:55
888sport🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +2.11%E +0.162%K +0.176%G +0.004%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.69%E -5.71%K -39.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -13.27%E -1.90%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-27 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +2.11%E +0.162%K +0.176%G +0.004%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.69%E -5.71%K -39.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -13.27%E -1.90%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-27 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +2.11%E +0.162%K +0.176%G +0.004%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.69%E -5.71%K -39.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -13.27%E -1.90%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-27 16:55
betfred_uk🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -5.74%E -0.479%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.50%EV -9.08%E -7.96%K -64.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -13.27%E -1.90%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-27 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.48%EV -17.53%E -1.67%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -9.88%E -8.74%K -75.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -13.27%E -1.90%K -2.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-27 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 7.95%EV -13.60%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 79.55%EV -12.27%E -11.15%K -122.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -13.27%E -1.90%K -2.21%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-27 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯9.75I 10.26%NM 9.03%EV -23.42%E -2.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 77.22%EV -9.08%E -7.96%K -64.85%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.75%EV -20.70%E -3.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-27 16:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。