Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rot-Weiss Essen v RB Leipzig

Inizio: 2026-10-27 17:00 UTC

Finale: Rot-Weiss Essen 1–2 RB Leipzig

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

27 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

80%

12%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rot-Weiss Essen (Casa)

Previsione 7.85%12.73quota equa

EV +10.59%

Vantaggio +0.752%

Kelly +0.810%

Crescita +0.086%

ipotizzando la quota massima 14.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

6.75%7.88%7.80%9.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

9.7512.4812.5014.0810.26%8.02%8.00%7.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

RB Leipzig (Trasferta)

Previsione 79.76%1.25quota equa

EV -5.09%

Vantaggio -4.28%

Kelly -26.80%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

77.22%79.68%79.71%81.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.101.151.161.1990.91%86.79%86.21%84.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 12.39%8.07quota equa

EV +11.51%

Vantaggio +1.28%

Kelly +1.44%

Crescita +0.166%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

10.44%12.44%12.49%13.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

6.407.607.509.0015.63%13.15%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Rot-Weiss Essen (Casa): 7.85%; RB Leipzig (Trasferta): 79.76%; Pareggio: 12.39%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 8.07. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 9.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +11.51%.

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Pareggio ▼	Margine	Aggiornamento
Winamax (DE)🎯	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -5.74%E -0.479%K -0.522%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.73%EV -8.28%E -7.20%K -55.21%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +11.51%E +1.28%K +1.44%G +0.166%	6.4%	2026-10-27 15:45
BetMGM🎯	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -13.60%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.85%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%	8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +2.22%E +0.269%K +0.306%G +0.007%	5.2%	2026-10-27 16:42
Unibet (SE)🎯	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +9.97%E +0.712%K +0.767%G +0.076%	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -7.48%E -6.45%K -46.78%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.879%E -0.110%K -0.126%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-27 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +9.97%E +0.712%K +0.767%G +0.076%	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -7.48%E -6.45%K -46.78%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.879%E -0.110%K -0.126%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-27 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +9.97%E +0.712%K +0.767%G +0.076%	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -7.48%E -6.45%K -46.78%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.879%E -0.110%K -0.126%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-27 16:55
Unibet🎯	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +9.97%E +0.712%K +0.767%G +0.076%	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -7.48%E -6.45%K -46.78%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.879%E -0.110%K -0.126%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-27 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV +9.97%E +0.712%K +0.767%G +0.076%	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.44%EV -7.48%E -6.45%K -46.78%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.879%E -0.110%K -0.126%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-27 16:55
picklebet_au🎯	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV -1.82%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.65%EV -6.69%E -5.71%K -39.33%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.879%E -0.110%K -0.126%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-27 15:44
LeoVegas🎯	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -5.74%E -0.479%K -0.522%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.69%E -5.71%K -39.33%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -0.879%E -0.110%K -0.126%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-10-27 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯	10.50I 9.52%NM 8.62%EV -17.53%E -1.67%K -1.84%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 80.07%EV -9.88%E -8.74%K -75.97%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -0.879%E -0.110%K -0.126%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-10-27 15:44
Tipico (DE)🎯	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +2.11%E +0.162%K +0.176%G +0.004%	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.65%EV -6.69%E -5.71%K -39.33%G +0.000%	7.80I 12.82%NM 12.10%EV -3.36%E -0.430%K -0.494%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-27 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV -5.74%E -0.479%K -0.522%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.16%EV -6.69%E -5.71%K -39.33%G +0.000%	7.80I 12.82%NM 12.02%EV -3.36%E -0.430%K -0.494%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-10-27 15:45
Pinnacle🎯	14.08I 7.10%NM 6.76%EV +10.59%E +0.752%K +0.810%G +0.086%	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.64%EV -5.89%E -4.99%K -32.72%G +0.000%	7.55I 13.25%NM 12.60%EV -6.45%E -0.855%K -0.985%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-27 16:55
Betway🎯	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -5.74%E -0.479%K -0.522%G +0.000%	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.89%E -4.99%K -32.72%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -7.07%E -0.943%K -1.09%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-27 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV +2.11%E +0.162%K +0.176%G +0.004%	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.69%E -5.71%K -39.33%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -7.07%E -0.943%K -1.09%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-10-27 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -1.82%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 80.58%EV -9.88%E -8.74%K -75.97%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -7.07%E -0.943%K -1.09%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-10-27 16:55
Grosvenor🎯	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -1.82%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 80.58%EV -9.88%E -8.74%K -75.97%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -7.07%E -0.943%K -1.09%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-10-27 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -1.82%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 80.71%EV -10.67%E -9.53%K -88.95%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -7.07%E -0.943%K -1.09%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-10-27 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.23%EV -1.82%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 80.71%EV -10.67%E -9.53%K -88.95%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -7.07%E -0.943%K -1.09%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-10-27 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.18%EV -1.82%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%	1.11I 90.09%NM 80.85%EV -11.47%E -10.33%K -104.29%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -7.07%E -0.943%K -1.09%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-10-27 16:55
888sport🎯	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +2.11%E +0.162%K +0.176%G +0.004%	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.69%E -5.71%K -39.33%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -13.27%E -1.90%K -2.21%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-10-27 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +2.11%E +0.162%K +0.176%G +0.004%	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.69%E -5.71%K -39.33%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -13.27%E -1.90%K -2.21%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-10-27 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +2.11%E +0.162%K +0.176%G +0.004%	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.69%E -5.71%K -39.33%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -13.27%E -1.90%K -2.21%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-10-27 16:55
betfred_uk🎯	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -5.74%E -0.479%K -0.522%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 79.50%EV -9.08%E -7.96%K -64.85%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -13.27%E -1.90%K -2.21%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-10-27 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯	10.50I 9.52%NM 8.48%EV -17.53%E -1.67%K -1.84%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -9.88%E -8.74%K -75.97%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -13.27%E -1.90%K -2.21%G +0.000%	12.3%	2026-10-27 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	11.00I 9.09%NM 7.95%EV -13.60%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%	1.10I 90.91%NM 79.55%EV -12.27%E -11.15%K -122.69%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -13.27%E -1.90%K -2.21%G +0.000%	14.3%	2026-10-27 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯	9.75I 10.26%NM 9.03%EV -23.42%E -2.40%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 77.22%EV -9.08%E -7.96%K -64.85%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 13.75%EV -20.70%E -3.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%	13.6%	2026-10-27 16:40

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.