Hansa Rostock v VfB Stuttgart

2026-08-21 18:45 UTC — DFB-Pokal

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Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

10%

77%

13%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Hansa Rostock (Local)

Prediction 9.85%10.16fair odd

EV -1.54%

Edge -0.154%

Kelly -0.171%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

9.29%9.91%9.85%12.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

7.008.468.5010.0014%12%12%10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

VfB Stuttgart (Visit)

Prediction 76.74%1.30fair odd

EV -6.38%

Edge -5.23%

Kelly -28.99%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

73.39%76.52%76.74%77.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.111.181.181.2290%85%85%82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 13.41%7.45fair odd

EV -2.75%

Edge -0.379%

Kelly -0.440%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

13.01%13.56%13.41%14.55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

5.806.516.407.2517%15%16%14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -1.54%E -0.154%K -0.171%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -7.91%E -6.59%K -39.56%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.10%E -0.872%K -1.02%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-06 22:09
BetMGM	9.75I 10.26%NM 9.67%EV -4.00%E -0.410%K -0.457%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.32%EV -6.38%E -5.23%K -28.99%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 13.01%EV -2.75%E -0.379%K -0.440%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-11 09:59
Codere (IT)	9.20I 10.87%NM 10.04%EV -9.42%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%	1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -7.14%E -5.90%K -34.02%G +0.000%	6.80I 14.71%NM 13.59%EV -8.79%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-25 05:05
LeoVegas	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -16.31%E -1.92%K -2.17%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.18%EV -7.91%E -6.59%K -39.56%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -6.10%E -0.872%K -1.02%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-07-25 05:00
NetBet (FR)	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.01%EV -16.31%E -1.92%K -2.17%G +0.000%	1.11I 90.09%NM 76.69%EV -14.82%E -13.35%K -134.71%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 13.30%EV -14.15%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000%	17.5%	2026-07-25 05:55
Betclic (FR)	8.25I 12.12%NM 10.63%EV -18.77%E -2.28%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 74.98%EV -10.21%E -8.73%K -60.08%G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39%NM 14.38%EV -18.18%E -2.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%	14.0%	2026-07-25 05:04
Winamax (DE)	7.50I 13.33%NM 11.61%EV -26.15%E -3.49%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 74.45%EV -10.21%E -8.73%K -60.08%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 13.94%EV -16.16%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%	14.8%	2026-07-25 05:00
Unibet (FR)	7.40I 13.51%NM 11.76%EV -27.14%E -3.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%	1.18I 84.75%NM 73.74%EV -9.45%E -8.01%K -52.48%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 14.50%EV -19.52%E -3.25%K -3.90%G +0.000%	14.9%	2026-07-25 05:05
Winamax (FR)	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.06%EV -31.08%E -4.44%K -5.18%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 73.39%EV -11.75%E -10.22%K -78.33%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 14.55%EV -22.20%E -3.83%K -4.62%G +0.000%	18.5%	2026-07-25 05:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.