The School of Odds

Hansa Rostock v VfB Stuttgart

2026-08-21 18:45 — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Hansa Rostock (Local)

7.7512.90%Min
9.0011.11%Mean
9.1310.96%Median
10.0010.00%Max
9.29%10.762Min
10.85%9.218Max
9.48%10.545Mean
9.48%10.545Median
9.48%10.545IQM
9.50%10.523Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 10.00 under the IQM model: 9.48%

EV -5.17%Edge -0.517%Kelly -0.574%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: VfB Stuttgart (Visit)

1.1388.50%Min
1.1785.11%Mean
1.1785.11%Median
1.2281.97%Max
74.40%1.344Min
77.43%1.291Max
77.37%1.292Mean
77.37%1.292Median
77.37%1.292IQM
77.37%1.293Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.22 under the IQM model: 77.37%

EV -5.60%Edge -4.59%Kelly -25.47%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

5.7017.54%Min
6.5515.27%Mean
6.6315.09%Median
7.2513.79%Max
13.01%7.686Min
14.75%6.780Max
13.14%7.609Mean
13.14%7.609Median
13.14%7.609IQM
13.13%7.617Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 7.25 under the IQM model: 13.14%

EV -4.72%Edge -0.651%Kelly -0.755%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

BookmakerHansa Rostock (Local) ▼VfB Stuttgart (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)10.00I 10.00% NM 9.29%EV -5.17% E -0.517% K -0.574% G +0.000%1.20I 83.33% NM 77.43%EV -7.15% E -5.96% K -35.75% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.27%EV -8.00% E -1.14% K -1.33% G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 22:09
BetMGM9.75I 10.26% NM 9.67%EV -7.54% E -0.773% K -0.862% G +0.000%1.22I 81.97% NM 77.32%EV -5.60% E -4.59% K -25.47% G +0.000%7.25I 13.79% NM 13.01%EV -4.72% E -0.651% K -0.755% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-11 09:59
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76% NM 10.26%EV -19.39% E -2.28% K -2.59% G +0.000%1.15I 86.96% NM 75.80%EV -11.02% E -9.58% K -73.46% G +0.000%6.25I 16.00% NM 13.95%EV -17.86% E -2.86% K -3.40% G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-04 11:25
Winamax (FR)7.75I 12.90% NM 10.85%EV -26.51% E -3.42% K -3.93% G +0.000%1.13I 88.50% NM 74.40%EV -12.57% E -11.12% K -96.67% G +0.000%5.70I 17.54% NM 14.75%EV -25.09% E -4.40% K -5.34% G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-04 11:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth