Language:English
Hansa Rostock v VfB Stuttgart
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hansa Rostock (Local)
Prediction 8.51%11.74fair odd
EV +10.69%
Edge +0.822%
Kelly +0.891%
Growth +0.095%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.28%8.69%8.52%9.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0011.3411.0013.0011.11%8.82%9.09%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
VfB Stuttgart (Visit)
Prediction 77.31%1.29fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -3.34%
Kelly -17.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.76%77.13%77.20%78.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.201.211.2486.21%83.33%82.64%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 14.18%7.05fair odd
EV -0.767%
Edge -0.110%
Kelly -0.128%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.39%14.18%14.28%15.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.806.366.457.0017.24%15.71%15.50%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hansa Rostock (Local): 8.51%; VfB Stuttgart (Visit): 77.31%; Draw: 14.18%. For Hansa Rostock (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.74. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +10.69%E +0.822%K +0.891%G +0.095% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -6.46%E -5.34%K -30.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.86%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +10.69%E +0.822%K +0.891%G +0.095% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -6.46%E -5.34%K -30.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.86%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +10.69%E +0.822%K +0.891%G +0.095% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -6.46%E -5.34%K -30.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.86%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +10.69%E +0.822%K +0.891%G +0.095% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -6.46%E -5.34%K -30.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.86%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +10.69%E +0.822%K +0.891%G +0.095% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -6.46%E -5.34%K -30.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.86%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +2.17%E +0.181%K +0.198%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -7.23%E -6.02%K -36.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -0.767%E -0.110%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -2.08%E -0.181%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.97%EV -8.77%E -7.44%K -48.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -14.94%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -7.86%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -7.86%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -7.23%E -6.02%K -36.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -0.767%E -0.110%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 18:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.98%EV -6.46%E -5.34%K -30.74%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -9.27%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 17:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.94%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-21 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.94%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-21 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.94%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-21 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.10%EV -8.00%E -6.72%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.56%EV -10.69%E -1.70%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.57%EV -9.55%E -8.16%K -56.16%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.18%EV -9.27%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:37 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.60%EV -10.32%E -8.90%K -64.51%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -17.78%E -3.07%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.60%EV -10.32%E -8.90%K -64.51%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -17.78%E -3.07%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.60%EV -10.32%E -8.90%K -64.51%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -17.78%E -3.07%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-21 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -14.86%E -1.49%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.86%EV -4.14%E -3.34%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -0.767%E -0.110%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -14.86%E -1.49%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.05%EV -7.23%E -6.02%K -36.14%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -4.31%E -0.639%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -23.37%E -2.60%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.76%EV -8.77%E -7.44%K -48.75%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.30%EV -11.40%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 17:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.