默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hansa Rostock v VfB Stuttgart

开赛时间: 2026-08-21 18:45 UTC

最终结果: Hansa Rostock 0–4 VfB Stuttgart

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hansa Rostock (主队)

预测 8.51%11.74公平赔率
EV +10.69%
优势 +0.822%
Kelly +0.891%
增长率 +0.095%

假设最高赔率为 13.00

博彩公司预测分布
7.28%8.69%8.52%9.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0011.3411.0013.0011.11%8.82%9.09%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

VfB Stuttgart (客队)

预测 77.31%1.29公平赔率
EV -4.14%
优势 -3.34%
Kelly -17.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.24

博彩公司预测分布
75.76%77.13%77.20%78.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.161.201.211.2486.21%83.33%82.64%80.65%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 14.18%7.05公平赔率
EV -0.767%
优势 -0.110%
Kelly -0.128%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 7.00

博彩公司预测分布
13.39%14.18%14.28%15.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.806.366.457.0017.24%15.71%15.50%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Hansa Rostock (主队):8.51%;VfB Stuttgart (客队):77.31%;平局:14.18%。 对于“Hansa Rostock (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为11.74。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为13.00,对应+10.69%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +10.69%E +0.822%K +0.891%G +0.095%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -6.46%E -5.34%K -30.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.86%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +10.69%E +0.822%K +0.891%G +0.095%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -6.46%E -5.34%K -30.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.86%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +10.69%E +0.822%K +0.891%G +0.095%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -6.46%E -5.34%K -30.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.86%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +10.69%E +0.822%K +0.891%G +0.095%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -6.46%E -5.34%K -30.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.86%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +10.69%E +0.822%K +0.891%G +0.095%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -6.46%E -5.34%K -30.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.86%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +2.17%E +0.181%K +0.198%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -7.23%E -6.02%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -0.767%E -0.110%K -0.128%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:39
Grosvenor🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -2.08%E -0.181%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.97%EV -8.77%E -7.44%K -48.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -14.94%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-21 18:10
LeoVegas🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -7.86%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 17:24
Unibet (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -7.86%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 17:20
Betway🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -7.23%E -6.02%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -0.767%E -0.110%K -0.128%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 18:34
Codere (IT)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.98%EV -6.46%E -5.34%K -30.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -9.27%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 17:24
888sport🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.94%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-21 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.94%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-21 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.68%E -4.66%K -25.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.94%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-21 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.10%EV -8.00%E -6.72%K -42.11%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.56%EV -10.69%E -1.70%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.25%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.57%EV -9.55%E -8.16%K -56.16%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.18%EV -9.27%E -1.45%K -1.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:37
LeoVegas (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 76.60%EV -10.32%E -8.90%K -64.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -17.78%E -3.07%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-21 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 76.60%EV -10.32%E -8.90%K -64.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -17.78%E -3.07%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-21 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV -6.34%E -0.576%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 76.60%EV -10.32%E -8.90%K -64.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -17.78%E -3.07%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-21 18:10
BetMGM🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -14.86%E -1.49%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.86%EV -4.14%E -3.34%K -17.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -0.767%E -0.110%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -14.86%E -1.49%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.05%EV -7.23%E -6.02%K -36.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -4.31%E -0.639%K -0.750%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 17:19
Winamax (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -23.37%E -2.60%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.76%EV -8.77%E -7.44%K -48.75%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.30%EV -11.40%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 17:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。