The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Dynamo Dresden v FC Schalke 04

2026-10-28 19:45 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dynamo Dresden (Local)

Prediction 29.96%3.34fair odd
EV -7.11%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.96%29.96%29.96%29.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.103.103.1032.26%32.26%32.26%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Schalke 04 (Visit)

Prediction 44.23%2.26fair odd
EV -7.11%
Edge -3.39%
Kelly -6.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.23%44.23%44.23%44.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.102.102.1047.62%47.62%47.62%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.80%3.88fair odd
EV -7.11%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.80%25.80%25.80%25.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.603.603.6027.78%27.78%27.78%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dynamo Dresden (Local): 29.96%; FC Schalke 04 (Visit): 44.23%; Draw: 25.80%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -7.11%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.