Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dynamo Dresden v FC Schalke 04

2026-10-28 17:00 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

26%

47%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dynamo Dresden (Local)

Prediction 25.98%3.85fair odd

EV -1.27%

Edge -0.333%

Kelly -0.452%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.33%25.98%25.98%28.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.003.223.053.8033.33%31.07%32.79%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Schalke 04 (Visit)

Prediction 47.36%2.11fair odd

EV -0.545%

Edge -0.260%

Kelly -0.496%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.74%47.36%47.36%49.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.851.931.902.1054.05%51.93%52.63%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.66%3.75fair odd

EV -4.03%

Edge -1.12%

Kelly -1.55%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.46%26.66%26.66%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.50%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dynamo Dresden (Local): 25.98%; FC Schalke 04 (Visit): 47.36%; Draw: 26.66%. For FC Schalke 04 (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.10, with an expected value of -0.545%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.27%E -0.333%K -0.452%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -12.39%E -6.69%K -14.57%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-09-20 17:24
BetMGM🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -0.545%E -0.260%K -0.496%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-21 08:04
LeoVegas🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -15.56%E -4.79%K -6.91%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -5.28%E -2.64%K -5.28%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-09-20 17:29
Winamax (DE)🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -20.75%E -6.80%K -10.12%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -9.07%E -4.72%K -9.86%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%	13.9%	2026-09-20 17:29
Betclic (FR)🎯	3.03I 33.00%NM 27.96%EV -21.27%E -7.02%K -10.48%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 45.80%EV -12.39%E -6.69%K -14.57%G +0.000%	3.23I 30.96%NM 26.23%EV -13.89%E -4.30%K -6.23%G +0.000%	18.0%	2026-09-20 17:28
Winamax (FR)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -22.05%E -7.35%K -11.03%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 45.44%EV -10.02%E -5.27%K -11.13%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 25.77%EV -10.69%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%	15.8%	2026-09-20 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.17%EV -22.05%E -7.35%K -11.03%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 45.43%EV -11.91%E -6.40%K -13.85%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -14.69%E -4.59%K -6.68%G +0.000%	18.3%	2026-09-20 17:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.