Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Dynamo Dresden v FC Schalke 04

2026-10-28 17:00 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Testa a testa

26 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Dynamo Dresden (Casa)

Previsione 26.11%3.83quota equa
EV +1.85%
Vantaggio +0.474%
Kelly +0.637%
Crescita +0.012%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.19%25.95%26.18%27.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.473.503.9031.25%28.82%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

FC Schalke 04 (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.91%2.04quota equa
EV -4.62%
Vantaggio -2.37%
Kelly -4.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.81%49.00%48.92%50.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.871.881.9558.14%53.53%53.19%51.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.97%4.00quota equa
EV -5.11%
Vantaggio -1.34%
Kelly -1.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.08%25.05%24.90%26.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.653.693.8028.57%27.43%27.10%26.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Dynamo Dresden (Casa): 26.11%; FC Schalke 04 (Trasferta): 48.91%; Pareggio: 24.97%. Per Dynamo Dresden (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.83. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 3.90, con un valore atteso positivo del +1.85%.

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV +1.85%E +0.474%K +0.637%G +0.012%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-20 06:50
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.99%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 15:40
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-19 11:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-19 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-19 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-19 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-19 15:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.81%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-19 18:14
Betclic (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -7.29%E -2.05%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -10.49%E -5.73%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.71%EV -8.10%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-20 17:04
picklebet_au🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -8.04%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-19 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -8.04%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 19:29
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 15:07
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 15:07
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 15:07
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-23 15:06
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 11:35
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-23 15:07
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -10.49%E -5.73%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 00:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-19 11:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.42%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.24%EV -15.87%E -9.23%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.34%EV -11.35%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-22 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -12.52%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.50%EV -10.49%E -5.73%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -11.35%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-19 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -12.52%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.50%EV -10.49%E -5.73%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -11.35%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-19 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -12.52%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.50%EV -10.49%E -5.73%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -11.35%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-19 11:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.96%E -6.64%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-19 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.83%EV -12.93%E -7.27%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-23 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.94%EV -16.43%E -5.14%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.43%EV -12.93%E -7.27%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-19 18:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.