Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Borussia Monchengladbach v Karlsruher SC

2026-10-27 19:45 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

71%

12%

17%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Borussia Monchengladbach (Local)

Prediction 71.00%1.41fair odd

EV -5.57%

Edge -4.19%

Kelly -16.87%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

68.72%70.91%71.07%71.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.221.281.301.3381.97%78.02%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Karlsruher SC (Visit)

Prediction 11.95%8.37fair odd

EV -4.43%

Edge -0.554%

Kelly -0.633%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

11.42%11.91%11.88%13.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.257.417.508.0016.00%13.50%13.33%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.05%5.86fair odd

EV -1.95%

Edge -0.340%

Kelly -0.412%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

16.52%17.18%17.05%18.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.905.185.105.7520.41%19.31%19.61%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Borussia Monchengladbach (Local): 71.00%; Karlsruher SC (Visit): 11.95%; Draw: 17.05%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.86. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.75, with an expected value of -1.95%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -5.57%E -4.19%K -16.87%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -4.43%E -0.554%K -0.633%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.95%E -0.340%K -0.412%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-13 10:35
LeoVegas🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -6.28%E -4.75%K -19.61%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -10.41%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -11.33%E -2.18%K -2.70%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-13 10:29
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.15%EV -7.70%E -5.92%K -25.65%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -10.41%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV -4.51%E -0.806%K -0.981%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-10-13 13:04
picklebet_au🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.70%E -5.92%K -25.65%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -10.41%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.22%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-10-14 07:35
888sport🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.70%E -5.92%K -25.65%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -4.43%E -0.554%K -0.633%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-10-12 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.70%E -5.92%K -25.65%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -4.43%E -0.554%K -0.633%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-10-12 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.70%E -5.92%K -25.65%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -4.43%E -0.554%K -0.633%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-10-12 18:14
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 70.22%EV -9.83%E -7.74%K -36.39%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 12.30%EV -13.39%E -1.85%K -2.14%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48%EV -13.04%E -2.56%K -3.18%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-10-13 07:22
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 69.23%EV -9.83%E -7.74%K -36.39%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 13.53%EV -22.35%E -3.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 17.24%EV -13.04%E -2.56%K -3.18%G +0.000%	13.7%	2026-10-13 07:24
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 68.72%EV -11.25%E -9.00%K -44.99%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 13.74%EV -25.34%E -4.05%K -4.83%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 17.53%EV -16.45%E -3.36%K -4.22%G +0.000%	16.4%	2026-10-13 07:24
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 71.33%EV -13.38%E -10.96%K -60.80%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 11.60%EV -10.41%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 17.06%EV -13.04%E -2.56%K -3.18%G +0.000%	14.9%	2026-10-15 20:20
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 70.14%EV -13.38%E -10.96%K -60.80%G +0.000%	6.90I 14.49%NM 12.40%EV -17.57%E -2.55%K -2.98%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 17.46%EV -16.45%E -3.36%K -4.22%G +0.000%	16.9%	2026-10-13 07:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.