The School of Odds
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Borussia Monchengladbach v Karlsruher SC

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 19:45 UTC

Final: Borussia Monchengladbach 2–0 Karlsruher SC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Borussia Monchengladbach (Local)

Prediction 62.20%1.61fair odd
EV -4.84%
Edge -3.16%
Kelly -9.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%62.21%62.21%64.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.471.481.5370.92%67.93%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Karlsruher SC (Visit)

Prediction 17.89%5.59fair odd
EV +4.11%
Edge +0.705%
Kelly +0.852%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 5.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.44%17.82%17.86%19.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.305.255.8221.74%18.87%19.05%17.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.92%5.02fair odd
EV -0.421%
Edge -0.084%
Kelly -0.105%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.13%19.97%19.93%21.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.634.605.0024.39%21.60%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Borussia Monchengladbach (Local): 62.20%; Karlsruher SC (Visit): 17.89%; Draw: 19.92%. For Karlsruher SC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.59. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -7.33%E -4.92%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.47%EV +4.11%E +0.705%K +0.852%G +0.035%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -0.421%E -0.084%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -7.95%E -5.37%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +2.85%E +0.496%K +0.601%G +0.017%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.40%E -0.918%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -7.95%E -5.37%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +2.85%E +0.496%K +0.601%G +0.017%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.40%E -0.918%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -7.95%E -5.37%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +2.85%E +0.496%K +0.601%G +0.017%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.40%E -0.918%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 19:30
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -7.95%E -5.37%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +2.85%E +0.496%K +0.601%G +0.017%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.40%E -0.918%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -7.95%E -5.37%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +2.85%E +0.496%K +0.601%G +0.017%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.40%E -0.918%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 19:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.19%EV -8.57%E -5.83%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.55%EV +1.96%E +0.344%K +0.417%G +0.008%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -2.41%E -0.492%K -0.619%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 19:20
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.79%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.15%EV +0.170%E +0.030%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.06%EV -4.60%E -0.961%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-27 19:40
picklebet_au🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -1.62%E -0.294%K -0.360%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -4.40%E -0.918%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-27 19:20
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.44%E -7.25%K -23.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.62%E -0.294%K -0.360%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.38%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-27 19:20
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.99%EV -11.06%E -7.73%K -25.72%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.00%EV -5.20%E -0.980%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -10.38%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-27 19:10
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.98%EV -4.84%E -3.16%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -6.09%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -5.40%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-27 19:20
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -6.09%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.40%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.09%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -8.39%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 19:20
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.76%EV -7.95%E -5.37%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -6.09%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -5.40%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-27 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.89%EV -11.06%E -7.73%K -25.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -6.09%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -10.38%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-27 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.89%EV -11.06%E -7.73%K -25.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -6.09%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -10.38%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-27 19:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.89%EV -11.06%E -7.73%K -25.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -6.09%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -10.38%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-27 19:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -6.98%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.40%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-27 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.83%EV -12.30%E -8.73%K -30.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.04%EV -6.98%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -12.37%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-27 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -8.77%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -2.41%E -0.492%K -0.619%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 19:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.29%EV -11.06%E -7.73%K -25.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.47%EV -8.77%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.24%EV -12.37%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-27 19:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.56%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.38%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-27 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.56%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.38%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-27 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.56%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.38%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-27 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.44%E -7.25%K -23.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.56%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.38%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-27 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.67%EV -9.19%E -6.30%K -19.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -14.14%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -8.39%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-27 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.67%EV -12.30%E -8.73%K -30.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.11%EV -14.14%E -2.95%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.22%EV -14.36%E -3.34%K -4.35%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.43%EV -7.95%E -5.37%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -17.72%E -3.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -18.35%E -4.47%K -5.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-27 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.