Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Borussia Monchengladbach v Karlsruher SC

2026-10-28 19:45 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Borussia Monchengladbach (Local)

Prediction 66.08%1.51fair odd
EV -7.49%
Edge -5.35%
Kelly -18.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.08%66.08%66.08%66.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.401.401.4071.43%71.43%71.43%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Karlsruher SC (Visit)

Prediction 15.42%6.49fair odd
EV -7.49%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.42%15.42%15.42%15.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.006.006.0016.67%16.67%16.67%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.50%5.40fair odd
EV -7.49%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.50%18.50%18.50%18.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.005.005.0020.00%20.00%20.00%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Borussia Monchengladbach (Local): 66.08%; Karlsruher SC (Visit): 15.42%; Draw: 18.50%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.40. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.00, with an expected value of -7.49%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -7.49%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.49%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 00:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.