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Borussia Monchengladbach v Karlsruher SC

2026-10-27 19:45 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Borussia Monchengladbach (Local)

Prediction 66.52%1.50fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -2.92%
Kelly -9.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.18%66.52%66.52%67.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.361.4475.76%73.22%73.53%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Karlsruher SC (Visit)

Prediction 14.72%6.79fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -0.665%
Kelly -0.786%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.27%14.72%14.72%15.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.405.845.506.5018.52%17.11%18.18%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.76%5.33fair odd
EV -6.22%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.54%18.76%18.76%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.154.564.505.0024.10%21.91%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Borussia Monchengladbach (Local): 66.52%; Karlsruher SC (Visit): 14.72%; Draw: 18.76%. For Borussia Monchengladbach (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.50. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.44, with an expected value of -4.20%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.86%EV -4.20%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.17%EV -8.00%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -6.22%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.84%EV -6.87%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -8.00%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -10.91%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -8.20%E -5.94%K -21.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -4.32%E -0.665%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.22%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 21:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -9.53%E -7.00%K -26.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -19.04%E -3.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -15.60%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 64.40%EV -10.86%E -8.10%K -31.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.98%EV -20.51%E -3.80%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.61%EV -17.47%E -3.97%K -5.14%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-12 14:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 64.18%EV -12.19%E -9.23%K -38.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.40%EV -19.04%E -3.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.41%EV -22.16%E -5.34%K -7.04%G +0.000%18.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 64.18%EV -12.19%E -9.23%K -38.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.40%EV -19.04%E -3.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.41%EV -22.16%E -5.34%K -7.04%G +0.000%18.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.