默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Borussia Monchengladbach v Karlsruher SC

2026-10-27 19:45 UTC — DFB-Pokal

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Borussia Monchengladbach (主队)

预测 70.14%1.43公平赔率
EV -6.71%
优势 -5.05%
Kelly -20.34%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.33

博彩公司预测分布
68.12%70.05%70.22%71.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.241.301.301.3380.65%77.15%76.92%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

Karlsruher SC (客队)

预测 12.68%7.89公平赔率
EV +1.46%
优势 +0.182%
Kelly +0.208%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 8.00

博彩公司预测分布
11.36%12.73%12.54%14.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.007.467.508.0016.67%13.41%13.33%12.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 17.18%5.82公平赔率
EV -1.23%
优势 -0.215%
Kelly -0.260%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.75

博彩公司预测分布
16.55%17.22%17.24%18.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.955.265.255.7520.20%19.00%19.05%17.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Borussia Monchengladbach (主队):70.14%;Karlsruher SC (客队):12.68%;平局:17.18%。 对于“Karlsruher SC (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.89。 有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为8.00,由此产生+1.46%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.23%E -0.215%K -0.260%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-13 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.82%E -6.78%K -29.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.53%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-19 11:09
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.82%E -6.78%K -29.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.53%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-19 11:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.82%E -6.78%K -29.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.53%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-19 11:21
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.82%E -6.78%K -29.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.53%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-19 11:20
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.82%E -6.78%K -29.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.53%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-19 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.82%E -6.78%K -29.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.53%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-19 15:00
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.82%E -6.78%K -29.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.12%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-12 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.82%E -6.78%K -29.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.12%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-12 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.82%E -6.78%K -29.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.12%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-12 18:14
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.12%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 20:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.68%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -4.88%E -0.651%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -3.81%E -0.680%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 06:35
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.82%E -6.78%K -29.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -4.88%E -0.651%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -5.53%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-23 07:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.58%EV -10.22%E -7.98%K -36.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -4.88%E -0.651%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -10.68%E -2.05%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-19 11:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.67%EV -11.62%E -9.22%K -44.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -4.88%E -0.651%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -12.40%E -2.43%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-19 11:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.67%EV -11.62%E -9.22%K -44.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -4.88%E -0.651%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -12.40%E -2.43%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-19 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.67%EV -11.62%E -9.22%K -44.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -4.88%E -0.651%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -12.40%E -2.43%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-19 11:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -11.23%E -1.60%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.34%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-23 07:00
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -11.23%E -1.60%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.82%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-23 10:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -11.23%E -1.60%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.82%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-23 06:55
picklebet_au🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.23%E -1.60%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.12%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 06:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.82%E -6.78%K -29.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -11.23%E -1.60%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.82%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-23 06:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 70.17%EV -13.03%E -10.50%K -54.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.43%EV -11.23%E -1.60%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -14.12%E -2.82%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-23 06:46
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 69.52%EV -13.03%E -10.50%K -54.27%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.06%EV -16.30%E -2.47%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.42%EV -14.97%E -3.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-23 06:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.81%EV -8.82%E -6.78%K -29.39%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -20.74%E -3.32%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -8.96%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-23 07:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.12%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -23.91%E -3.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -12.40%E -2.43%K -3.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-23 06:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。