Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bayern Munich v 1. FC Magdeburg

2026-10-28 19:45 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

92%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bayern Munich (Local)

Prediction 91.76%1.09fair odd

EV -7.32%

Edge -7.25%

Kelly -732.06%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

91.76%91.76%91.76%91.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.011.011.011.0199.01%99.01%99.01%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Magdeburg (Visit)

Prediction 3.09%32.37fair odd

EV -7.32%

Edge -0.244%

Kelly -0.252%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 30.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

3.09%3.09%3.09%3.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

30.0030.0030.0030.003.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 5.15%19.42fair odd

EV -7.32%

Edge -0.407%

Kelly -0.431%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 18.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

5.15%5.15%5.15%5.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

18.0018.0018.0018.005.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bayern Munich (Local): 91.76%; 1. FC Magdeburg (Visit): 3.09%; Draw: 5.15%. For Bayern Munich (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.09. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.01, with an expected value of -7.32%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 91.76%EV -7.32%E -7.25%K -732.06%G +0.000%	30.00I 3.33%NM 3.09%EV -7.32%E -0.244%K -0.252%G +0.000%	18.00I 5.56%NM 5.15%EV -7.32%E -0.407%K -0.431%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-09-06 00:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.