默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bayern Munich v 1. FC Magdeburg

2026-10-28 19:45 UTC — DFB-Pokal

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bayern Munich (主队)

预测 91.84%1.09公平赔率
EV -4.49%
优势 -4.32%
Kelly -112.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.04

博彩公司预测分布
85.38%91.97%91.59%93.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.021.021.0499.01%97.61%97.56%96.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

1. FC Magdeburg (客队)

预测 2.41%41.45公平赔率
EV +47.16%
优势 +0.773%
Kelly +0.786%
增长率 +0.371%

假设最高赔率为 61.00

博彩公司预测分布
1.57%2.33%2.35%4.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
21.0040.0035.0061.004.76%2.50%2.86%1.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 5.75%17.39公平赔率
EV +32.25%
优势 +1.40%
Kelly +1.47%
增长率 +0.473%

假设最高赔率为 23.00

博彩公司预测分布
4.15%5.70%6.07%10.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.2016.5715.5023.0012.20%6.04%6.45%4.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Bayern Munich (主队):91.84%;1. FC Magdeburg (客队):2.41%;平局:5.75%。 对于“1. FC Magdeburg (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为41.45。 有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为61.00,由此产生+47.16%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.47%EV -5.41%E -5.25%K -180.25%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.35%EV -1.09%E -0.027%K -0.027%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.19%EV +32.25%E +1.40%K +1.47%G +0.473%3.9%2026-10-22 09:22
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.53%EV -6.33%E -6.20%K -316.29%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.33%EV -1.09%E -0.027%K -0.027%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.15%EV +32.25%E +1.40%K +1.47%G +0.473%4.8%2026-10-21 12:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.36%EV -7.24%E -7.17%K -724.41%G +0.000%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.36%EV -3.50%E -0.088%K -0.090%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.29%EV +26.50%E +1.20%K +1.26%G +0.334%6.1%2026-10-20 06:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.28%EV -5.41%E -5.25%K -180.25%G +0.000%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.72%EV -15.57%E -0.445%K -0.458%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +9.25%E +0.487%K +0.514%G +0.048%5.2%2026-10-22 13:35
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.28%EV -5.41%E -5.25%K -180.25%G +0.000%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.72%EV -15.57%E -0.445%K -0.458%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +9.25%E +0.487%K +0.514%G +0.048%5.2%2026-10-22 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.28%EV -5.41%E -5.25%K -180.25%G +0.000%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.72%EV -15.57%E -0.445%K -0.458%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +9.25%E +0.487%K +0.514%G +0.048%5.2%2026-10-22 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.28%EV -5.41%E -5.25%K -180.25%G +0.000%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.72%EV -15.57%E -0.445%K -0.458%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +9.25%E +0.487%K +0.514%G +0.048%5.2%2026-10-22 13:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.28%EV -5.41%E -5.25%K -180.25%G +0.000%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.72%EV -15.57%E -0.445%K -0.458%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +9.25%E +0.487%K +0.514%G +0.048%5.2%2026-10-22 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.58%EV -7.24%E -7.17%K -724.41%G +0.000%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.64%EV -15.57%E -0.445%K -0.458%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV -8.00%E -0.500%K -0.533%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-21 08:00
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.05%EV -4.49%E -4.32%K -112.23%G +0.000%61.00I 1.64%NM 1.57%EV +47.16%E +0.773%K +0.786%G +0.371%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.38%EV -13.75%E -0.917%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-05 09:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.05%EV -4.49%E -4.32%K -112.23%G +0.000%61.00I 1.64%NM 1.57%EV +47.16%E +0.773%K +0.786%G +0.371%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.38%EV -13.75%E -0.917%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-05 09:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.05%EV -4.49%E -4.32%K -112.23%G +0.000%61.00I 1.64%NM 1.57%EV +47.16%E +0.773%K +0.786%G +0.371%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.38%EV -13.75%E -0.917%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-05 09:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.32%EV -6.33%E -6.20%K -316.29%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.02%EV +10.97%E +0.238%K +0.244%G +0.027%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -19.50%E -1.39%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-22 10:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.33%E -6.20%K -316.29%G +0.000%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.64%EV -15.57%E -0.445%K -0.458%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -19.50%E -1.39%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-22 10:44
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.63%EV -6.33%E -6.20%K -316.29%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.25%EV -1.09%E -0.027%K -0.027%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -25.25%E -1.94%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-22 10:39
betfred_uk🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.80%EV -6.33%E -6.20%K -316.29%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.16%EV -30.04%E -1.04%K -1.07%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -25.25%E -1.94%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-18 19:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 89.70%EV -7.24%E -7.17%K -724.41%G +0.000%33.00I 3.03%NM 2.75%EV -20.39%E -0.618%K -0.637%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -31.00%E -2.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-22 10:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 85.38%EV -7.24%E -7.17%K -724.41%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.11%EV -49.34%E -2.35%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 10.52%EV -52.85%E -6.45%K -7.34%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-22 19:46
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。