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Bahlinger SC v 1. FC Magdeburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bahlinger SC (Local)
Prediction 3.29%30.39fair odd
EV +18.47%
Edge +0.513%
Kelly +0.528%
Growth +0.097%
assuming max odds 36.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.65%3.35%3.13%4.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
20.0029.1529.0036.005.00%3.43%3.45%2.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
1. FC Magdeburg (Visit)
Prediction 90.06%1.11fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -3.39%
Kelly -51.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.74%90.05%90.48%92.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.041.0799.01%96.15%96.15%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 6.65%15.05fair odd
EV +39.57%
Edge +1.88%
Kelly +1.98%
Growth +0.783%
assuming max odds 21.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.59%6.60%6.40%8.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.2514.4115.0021.008.89%6.94%6.67%4.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bahlinger SC (Local): 3.29%; 1. FC Magdeburg (Visit): 90.06%; Draw: 6.65%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.05. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 21.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +39.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.83%EV +11.88%E +0.350%K +0.360%G +0.043% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.58%EV -6.33%E -6.09%K -158.36%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +39.57%E +1.88%K +1.98%G +0.783% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 13:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.07%EV -1.28%E -0.043%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.18%EV -9.04%E -8.95%K -903.63%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.76%EV +6.34%E +0.396%K +0.423%G +0.027% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 13:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.71%EV -14.44%E -0.555%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.07%EV -3.63%E -3.39%K -51.89%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.22%EV +3.02%E +0.195%K +0.208%G +0.006% | 3.8% | 2026-08-23 13:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV +18.47%E +0.513%K +0.528%G +0.097% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -5.43%E -5.18%K -108.68%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV +18.47%E +0.513%K +0.528%G +0.097% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -5.43%E -5.18%K -108.68%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV +18.47%E +0.513%K +0.528%G +0.097% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -5.43%E -5.18%K -108.68%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -4.57%E -0.158%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.40%EV -5.43%E -5.18%K -108.68%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -4.57%E -0.158%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.40%EV -5.43%E -5.18%K -108.68%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -4.57%E -0.158%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.40%EV -5.43%E -5.18%K -108.68%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -4.57%E -0.158%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.40%EV -5.43%E -5.18%K -108.68%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 13:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.78%EV -17.73%E -0.709%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.93%EV -5.43%E -5.18%K -108.68%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 11:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.04%EV +2.01%E +0.065%K +0.067%G +0.001% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.67%EV -6.33%E -6.09%K -158.36%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.86%EV -21.02%E -0.876%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.96%EV -7.24%E -7.02%K -241.17%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.75%EV +11.88%E +0.350%K +0.360%G +0.043% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -6.33%E -6.09%K -158.36%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -13.60%E -1.05%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.11%EV -1.28%E -0.043%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.71%EV -6.33%E -6.09%K -158.36%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -13.60%E -1.05%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.51%EV -14.44%E -0.555%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.47%EV -8.14%E -7.98%K -406.78%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -13.60%E -1.05%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 12:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV -14.44%E -0.555%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -6.33%E -6.09%K -158.36%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -20.25%E -1.69%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-23 13:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.17%EV -4.57%E -0.158%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.18%EV -7.24%E -7.02%K -241.17%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV -20.25%E -1.69%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 13:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.47%EV -34.19%E -1.71%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 87.74%EV -8.14%E -7.98%K -406.78%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.78%EV -23.57%E -2.05%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 11:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.75%EV -21.02%E -0.876%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 88.25%EV -8.14%E -7.98%K -406.78%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.00%EV -25.23%E -2.24%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 13:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.