默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bahlinger SC v 1. FC Magdeburg

开赛时间: 2026-08-23 13:30 UTC

最终结果: Bahlinger SC 0–4 1. FC Magdeburg

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bahlinger SC (主队)

预测 3.29%30.39公平赔率
EV +18.47%
优势 +0.513%
Kelly +0.528%
增长率 +0.097%

假设最高赔率为 36.00

博彩公司预测分布
2.65%3.35%3.13%4.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
20.0029.1529.0036.005.00%3.43%3.45%2.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

1. FC Magdeburg (客队)

预测 90.06%1.11公平赔率
EV -3.63%
优势 -3.39%
Kelly -51.89%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.07

博彩公司预测分布
87.74%90.05%90.48%92.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.041.041.0799.01%96.15%96.15%93.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 6.65%15.05公平赔率
EV +39.57%
优势 +1.88%
Kelly +1.98%
增长率 +0.783%

假设最高赔率为 21.00

博彩公司预测分布
4.59%6.60%6.40%8.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
11.2514.4115.0021.008.89%6.94%6.67%4.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Bahlinger SC (主队):3.29%;1. FC Magdeburg (客队):90.06%;平局:6.65%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为15.05。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为21.00,对应+39.57%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Betway🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.83%EV +11.88%E +0.350%K +0.360%G +0.043%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.58%EV -6.33%E -6.09%K -158.36%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +39.57%E +1.88%K +1.98%G +0.783%3.9%2026-08-23 13:20
NetBet (FR)🎯30.00I 3.33%NM 3.07%EV -1.28%E -0.043%K -0.044%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.18%EV -9.04%E -8.95%K -903.63%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.76%EV +6.34%E +0.396%K +0.423%G +0.027%8.6%2026-08-23 13:25
BetMGM🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.71%EV -14.44%E -0.555%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.07%EV -3.63%E -3.39%K -51.89%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.22%EV +3.02%E +0.195%K +0.208%G +0.006%3.8%2026-08-23 13:25
888sport🎯36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV +18.47%E +0.513%K +0.528%G +0.097%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -5.43%E -5.18%K -108.68%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV +18.47%E +0.513%K +0.528%G +0.097%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -5.43%E -5.18%K -108.68%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯36.00I 2.78%NM 2.65%EV +18.47%E +0.513%K +0.528%G +0.097%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.98%EV -5.43%E -5.18%K -108.68%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -4.57%E -0.158%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.40%EV -5.43%E -5.18%K -108.68%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 13:25
Unibet🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -4.57%E -0.158%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.40%EV -5.43%E -5.18%K -108.68%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -4.57%E -0.158%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.40%EV -5.43%E -5.18%K -108.68%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV -4.57%E -0.158%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.40%EV -5.43%E -5.18%K -108.68%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯25.00I 4.00%NM 3.78%EV -17.73%E -0.709%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.93%EV -5.43%E -5.18%K -108.68%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 11:04
LeoVegas🎯31.00I 3.23%NM 3.04%EV +2.01%E +0.065%K +0.067%G +0.001%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.67%EV -6.33%E -6.09%K -158.36%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯24.00I 4.17%NM 3.86%EV -21.02%E -0.876%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.96%EV -7.24%E -7.02%K -241.17%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -0.307%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.75%EV +11.88%E +0.350%K +0.360%G +0.043%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.04%EV -6.33%E -6.09%K -158.36%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -13.60%E -1.05%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 11:20
Codere (IT)🎯30.00I 3.33%NM 3.11%EV -1.28%E -0.043%K -0.044%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.71%EV -6.33%E -6.09%K -158.36%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -13.60%E -1.05%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 13:25
Grosvenor🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.51%EV -14.44%E -0.555%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 89.47%EV -8.14%E -7.98%K -406.78%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -13.60%E -1.05%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 12:55
betfred_uk🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.55%EV -14.44%E -0.555%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.76%EV -6.33%E -6.09%K -158.36%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -20.25%E -1.69%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 13:10
Unibet (FR)🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.17%EV -4.57%E -0.158%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.18%EV -7.24%E -7.02%K -241.17%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV -20.25%E -1.69%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 13:24
Winamax (FR)🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.47%EV -34.19%E -1.71%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 87.74%EV -8.14%E -7.98%K -406.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.78%EV -23.57%E -2.05%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯24.00I 4.17%NM 3.75%EV -21.02%E -0.876%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 88.25%EV -8.14%E -7.98%K -406.78%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.00%EV -25.23%E -2.24%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 13:24
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。