The School of Odds

1. FC Saarbrücken v Hertha Berlin

2026-08-22 13:30 — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis)

Option 1: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)

3.4029.41%Min
3.6627.34%Mean
3.6027.78%Median
4.0025.00%Max
23.53%4.250Min
25.69%3.893Max
24.33%4.110Mean
23.77%4.207Median
24.33%4.110IQM
24.26%4.122Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.00 under the IQM model: 24.33%

EV -2.69%Edge -0.672%Kelly -0.895%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Hertha Berlin (Visit)

1.7058.82%Min
1.8055.51%Mean
1.8354.64%Median
1.8753.48%Max
48.90%2.045Min
50.33%1.987Max
50.14%1.994Mean
50.11%1.995Median
50.14%1.994IQM
50.16%1.994Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.87 under the IQM model: 50.14%

EV -6.24%Edge -3.33%Kelly -7.17%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.3030.30%Min
3.5028.57%Mean
3.5528.17%Median
3.8026.32%Max
24.33%4.110Min
26.14%3.825Max
25.53%3.917Mean
26.12%3.829Median
25.53%3.917IQM
25.58%3.909Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.80 under the IQM model: 25.53%

EV -2.98%Edge -0.785%Kelly -1.07%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker1. FC Saarbrücken (Local) ▼Hertha Berlin (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM4.00I 25.00% NM 23.53%EV -2.69% E -0.672% K -0.895% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.33%EV -6.24% E -3.33% K -7.17% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.14%EV -8.09% E -2.25% K -3.11% G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-11 09:40
Codere (IT)3.90I 25.64% NM 23.77%EV -5.12% E -1.31% K -1.77% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 50.11%EV -7.24% E -3.91% K -8.52% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 26.12%EV -9.37% E -2.64% K -3.67% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 10:30
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32% NM 24.11%EV -7.55% E -1.99% K -2.70% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 50.07%EV -8.24% E -4.50% K -9.93% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.81%EV -9.37% E -2.64% K -3.67% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 10:30
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78% NM 25.69%EV -12.42% E -3.45% K -4.78% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 49.98%EV -7.24% E -3.91% K -8.52% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.33%EV -2.98% E -0.785% K -1.07% G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-06 22:09
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57% NM 24.89%EV -14.85% E -4.24% K -5.94% G +0.000%1.76I 56.82% NM 49.49%EV -11.75% E -6.68% K -15.46% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 25.62%EV -13.20% E -3.88% K -5.50% G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-05 10:30
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41% NM 25.17%EV -17.28% E -5.08% K -7.20% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 48.90%EV -12.25% E -7.00% K -16.34% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 25.93%EV -15.75% E -4.77% K -6.85% G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-05 10:30
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41% NM 24.81%EV -17.28% E -5.08% K -7.20% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 49.62%EV -14.76% E -8.68% K -21.09% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 25.56%EV -15.75% E -4.77% K -6.85% G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-05 10:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth