Language:English
1. FC Saarbrücken v Hertha Berlin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)
Prediction 30.78%3.25fair odd
EV +3.10%
Edge +0.924%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.19%30.79%30.74%32.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.093.053.3535.71%32.35%32.79%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hertha Berlin (Visit)
Prediction 42.64%2.34fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.42%42.61%42.65%46.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.102.152.2552.08%47.52%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.58%3.76fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.447%
Kelly -0.612%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.51%26.60%26.61%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.533.503.7030.30%28.34%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local): 30.78%; Hertha Berlin (Visit): 42.64%; Draw: 26.58%. For 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV +3.10%E +0.924%K +1.32%G +0.041% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.29%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.65%E -0.447%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV +3.10%E +0.924%K +1.32%G +0.041% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.29%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.65%E -0.447%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV +3.10%E +0.924%K +1.32%G +0.041% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.29%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.65%E -0.447%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV +3.10%E +0.924%K +1.32%G +0.041% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.29%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.65%E -0.447%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV +3.10%E +0.924%K +1.32%G +0.041% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.29%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.65%E -0.447%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -1.52%E -0.475%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.20%EV -16.42%E -8.38%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -5.64%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.60%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 07:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.60%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -4.60%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.96%EV -18.12%E -9.44%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.58%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -4.60%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.96%EV -18.12%E -9.44%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.58%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -4.60%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.96%EV -18.12%E -9.44%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.58%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.14%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.05%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.23%EV -5.76%E -2.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 12:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.31%E -3.87%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 08:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.31%E -3.87%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.31%E -3.87%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 13:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 13:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -9.59%E -4.53%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.31%E -3.87%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 11:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -12.29%E -4.31%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -10.45%E -4.97%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-22 11:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.