语言:简体中文
1. FC Saarbrücken v Hertha Berlin
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
1. FC Saarbrücken (主队)
预测 30.78%3.25公平赔率
EV +3.10%
优势 +0.924%
Kelly +1.32%
增长率 +0.041%
假设最高赔率为 3.35
博彩公司预测分布
28.19%30.79%30.74%32.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.093.053.3535.71%32.35%32.79%29.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
Hertha Berlin (客队)
预测 42.64%2.34公平赔率
EV -4.05%
优势 -1.80%
Kelly -3.24%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.25
博彩公司预测分布
41.42%42.61%42.65%46.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.922.102.152.2552.08%47.52%46.51%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.58%3.76公平赔率
EV -1.65%
优势 -0.447%
Kelly -0.612%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.70
博彩公司预测分布
25.51%26.60%26.61%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.533.503.7030.30%28.34%28.57%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：1. FC Saarbrücken (主队)：30.78%；Hertha Berlin (客队)：42.64%；平局：26.58%。 对于“1. FC Saarbrücken (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.25。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.35，对应+3.10%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV +3.10%E +0.924%K +1.32%G +0.041% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.29%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.65%E -0.447%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV +3.10%E +0.924%K +1.32%G +0.041% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.29%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.65%E -0.447%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV +3.10%E +0.924%K +1.32%G +0.041% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.29%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.65%E -0.447%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV +3.10%E +0.924%K +1.32%G +0.041% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.29%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.65%E -0.447%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV +3.10%E +0.924%K +1.32%G +0.041% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.29%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.65%E -0.447%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -1.52%E -0.475%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.20%EV -16.42%E -8.38%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -5.64%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.60%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 07:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.60%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -4.60%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.96%EV -18.12%E -9.44%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.58%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -4.60%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.96%EV -18.12%E -9.44%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.58%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -4.60%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.96%EV -18.12%E -9.44%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.58%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.14%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.05%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.23%EV -5.76%E -2.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 12:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.31%E -3.87%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 08:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.31%E -3.87%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.31%E -3.87%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 13:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 13:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -9.59%E -4.53%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 11:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.31%E -3.87%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 11:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -12.29%E -4.31%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -10.45%E -4.97%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-22 11:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。