The School of Odds
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Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt

2026-09-07 16:00 UTC — Frauen-Bundesliga

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Union Berlin (Local)

Prediction 18.22%5.49fair odd
EV +0.927%
Edge +0.167%
Kelly +0.204%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.38%18.22%18.10%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.965.005.5421.74%20.18%20.00%18.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit)

Prediction 60.83%1.64fair odd
EV -8.76%
Edge -5.84%
Kelly -17.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.61%60.83%61.19%63.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.54%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.95%4.77fair odd
EV -5.71%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.16%20.95%20.71%22.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.114.004.5026.67%24.34%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Union Berlin (Local): 18.22%; Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit): 60.83%; Draw: 20.95%. For Union Berlin (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.49. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.54, producing a positive expected value of +0.927%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯5.54I 18.05%NM 16.38%EV +0.927%E +0.167%K +0.204%G +0.002%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.46%EV -13.01%E -9.10%K -30.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -5.71%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Pinnacle🎯5.11I 19.57%NM 17.95%EV -6.91%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.57%EV -9.36%E -6.28%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 20.48%EV -6.13%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -8.91%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -12.41%E -8.62%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.19%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -8.91%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -12.41%E -8.62%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.19%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -8.91%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -12.41%E -8.62%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.19%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -8.91%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -12.41%E -8.62%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.19%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-05 23:05
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -8.91%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -14.84%E -10.60%K -37.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -12.00%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -14.38%E -3.06%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -8.76%E -5.84%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -7.81%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:05
betano_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 18.14%EV -16.20%E -3.52%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 59.61%EV -14.84%E -10.60%K -37.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.25%EV -21.43%E -5.71%K -7.79%G +0.000%19.8%2026-09-05 23:04
Bet Victor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 18.14%EV -16.20%E -3.52%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 59.61%EV -14.84%E -10.60%K -37.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.25%EV -21.43%E -5.71%K -7.79%G +0.000%19.8%2026-09-05 23:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.