默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Union Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt

开赛时间: 2026-09-07 16:00 UTC

最终结果: Union Berlin 0–1 Eintracht Frankfurt

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (3 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Union Berlin (主队)

预测 26.90%3.72公平赔率
EV +2.21%
优势 +0.581%
Kelly +0.788%
增长率 +0.017%

假设最高赔率为 3.80

博彩公司预测分布
23.39%26.90%27.58%28.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.493.623.8033.33%28.66%27.62%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

Eintracht Frankfurt (客队)

预测 49.43%2.02公平赔率
EV -6.09%
优势 -3.21%
Kelly -6.77%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.90

博彩公司预测分布
47.66%49.43%48.66%52.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.751.731.9059.52%57.09%57.97%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.68%4.22公平赔率
EV -3.16%
优势 -0.772%
Kelly -1.02%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.09

博彩公司预测分布
22.65%23.68%23.77%24.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.713.754.0929.41%26.97%26.67%24.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Union Berlin (主队):26.90%;Eintracht Frankfurt (客队):49.43%;平局:23.68%。 对于“Union Berlin (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.72。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.80,对应+2.21%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV +2.21%E +0.581%K +0.788%G +0.017%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.91%EV -16.96%E -10.10%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 15:14
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV +2.21%E +0.581%K +0.788%G +0.017%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.91%EV -16.96%E -10.10%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 15:15
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV +2.21%E +0.581%K +0.788%G +0.017%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.91%EV -16.96%E -10.10%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 15:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV +2.21%E +0.581%K +0.788%G +0.017%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.91%EV -16.96%E -10.10%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV +2.21%E +0.581%K +0.788%G +0.017%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.91%EV -16.96%E -10.10%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 15:15
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV +2.21%E +0.581%K +0.788%G +0.017%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.91%EV -16.96%E -10.10%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV +2.21%E +0.581%K +0.788%G +0.017%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.91%EV -16.96%E -10.10%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV +2.21%E +0.581%K +0.788%G +0.017%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.91%EV -16.96%E -10.10%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -0.483%E -0.131%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -13.50%E -7.72%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-07 15:45
1xBet🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 25.64%EV -4.79%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.72%EV -11.53%E -6.44%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 23.64%EV -9.08%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 15:55
Pinnacle🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -12.86%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.65%EV -3.16%E -0.772%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 15:55
William Hill🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.93%E -4.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-07 15:55
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.93%E -4.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-07 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.93%E -4.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-07 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.93%E -4.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-07 15:55
betano_uk🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 26.65%EV -16.08%E -5.15%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 48.90%EV -15.98%E -9.40%K -22.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.45%EV -19.50%E -5.73%K -8.12%G +0.000%20.3%2026-09-07 15:55
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.93%EV -19.31%E -6.44%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.22%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-07 15:44
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 27.80%EV -19.31%E -6.44%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 47.66%EV -13.50%E -7.72%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -19.50%E -5.73%K -8.12%G +0.000%19.9%2026-09-07 15:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。