默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

VfL Wolfsburg v FC Energie Cottbus

开赛时间: 2026-09-05 11:00 UTC

最终结果: VfL Wolfsburg 4–4 FC Energie Cottbus

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

VfL Wolfsburg (主队)

预测 72.46%1.38公平赔率
EV -3.63%
优势 -2.73%
Kelly -10.99%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.33

博彩公司预测分布
69.67%72.40%72.32%74.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.211.291.291.3382.64%77.63%77.52%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Energie Cottbus (客队)

预测 10.60%9.43公平赔率
EV +12.59%
优势 +1.19%
Kelly +1.31%
增长率 +0.165%

假设最高赔率为 10.62

博彩公司预测分布
8.92%10.67%10.65%12.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.008.428.3210.6214.29%11.88%12.01%9.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 16.94%5.90公平赔率
EV +1.63%
优势 +0.271%
Kelly +0.326%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 6.00

博彩公司预测分布
15.56%16.94%17.03%18.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.345.406.0020.83%18.73%18.52%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:VfL Wolfsburg (主队):72.46%;FC Energie Cottbus (客队):10.60%;平局:16.94%。 对于“FC Energie Cottbus (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.43。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为10.62,对应+12.59%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.99%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.90%G +0.000%10.62I 9.42%NM 8.92%EV +12.59%E +1.19%K +1.31%G +0.165%5.54I 18.05%NM 17.09%EV -6.16%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Suprabets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.57%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV +6.01%E +0.601%K +0.668%G +0.040%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 10:48
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.14%EV -4.35%E -3.30%K -13.60%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.72%EV +3.89%E +0.397%K +0.443%G +0.017%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -11.07%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.14%EV -4.35%E -3.30%K -13.60%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.72%EV +3.89%E +0.397%K +0.443%G +0.017%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -11.07%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 13:00
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.52%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV +0.714%E +0.075%K +0.084%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -2.61%E -0.453%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 01:45
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.34%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +0.714%E +0.075%K +0.084%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 11:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.54%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +0.714%E +0.075%K +0.084%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +1.63%E +0.271%K +0.326%G +0.005%5.9%2026-09-04 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.51%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +0.714%E +0.075%K +0.084%G +0.001%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -10.23%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV +0.714%E +0.075%K +0.084%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 14:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.90%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.92%EV -0.346%E -0.037%K -0.041%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 08:30
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.59%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.07%EV -1.41%E -0.151%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 09:35
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.12%EV -4.35%E -3.30%K -13.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV -4.59%E -0.510%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -4.59%E -0.510%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 11:05
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -4.59%E -0.510%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 10:05
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -4.59%E -0.510%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 10:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -4.59%E -0.510%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 10:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -4.59%E -0.510%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 10:05
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -4.59%E -0.510%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 07:50
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -4.59%E -0.510%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 07:53
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -4.59%E -0.510%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 14:30
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.86%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -9.89%E -1.16%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +1.63%E +0.271%K +0.326%G +0.005%4.8%2026-09-03 15:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.34%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.89%E -1.16%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -2.61%E -0.453%K -0.549%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -9.89%E -1.16%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -11.07%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 11:55
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -9.89%E -1.16%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 14:29
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -9.89%E -1.16%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 11:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.87%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -9.89%E -1.16%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -11.07%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 14:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 72.24%EV -12.32%E -10.18%K -58.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.28%EV -9.89%E -1.16%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-04 11:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.52%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.34%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.22%EV -10.95%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -1.76%E -0.303%K -0.366%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.16%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.34%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.21%EV -12.54%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -11.07%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 11:59
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.83%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.90%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.14%EV -12.54%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 15:32
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:04
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:05
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:05
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:04
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:04
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.64%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -2.61%E -0.453%K -0.549%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 11:45
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.07%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.49%EV -5.99%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.07%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.49%EV -5.99%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:19
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.03%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -18.70%E -3.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-04 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.34%EV -10.15%E -8.18%K -42.29%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.35%EV -16.25%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.39%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -17.84%E -2.30%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +1.63%E +0.271%K +0.326%G +0.005%7.1%2026-09-04 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -20.49%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 14:20
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -20.49%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -13.62%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 08:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.54%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -20.49%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.33%EV -11.07%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 11:45
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.54%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -20.49%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.33%EV -11.07%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 11:45
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.18%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -20.49%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.75%EV -13.62%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.18%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -20.49%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.75%EV -13.62%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 08:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -20.49%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -11.07%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 11:45
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -20.49%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -11.07%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.97%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -25.79%E -3.68%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -25.79%E -3.68%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 08:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -25.79%E -3.68%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 08:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -25.79%E -3.68%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 08:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.16%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.34%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.51%2.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.44%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.78%2.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.44%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.78%2.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.44%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.78%2.3%2026-09-04 14:30
Matchbook◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.44%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.78%2.3%2026-09-04 14:30
Kalshi◎1.32I 75.76%NM 73.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.73%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.55%2.8%2026-09-04 14:30