Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

VfL Wolfsburg v FC Energie Cottbus

Начало: 2026-09-05 11:00 UTC

Итог: VfL Wolfsburg 4–4 FC Energie Cottbus

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

VfL Wolfsburg (Хозяева)

Прогноз 72.46%1.38справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.63%
Преимущество -2.73%
Kelly -10.99%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.33

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
69.67%72.40%72.32%74.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.211.291.291.3382.64%77.63%77.52%75.19%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

FC Energie Cottbus (Гости)

Прогноз 10.60%9.43справедливый коэффициент
EV +12.59%
Преимущество +1.19%
Kelly +1.31%
Рост +0.165%

при максимальном коэффициенте 10.62

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
8.92%10.67%10.65%12.77%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
7.008.428.3210.6214.29%11.88%12.01%9.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 16.94%5.90справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.63%
Преимущество +0.271%
Kelly +0.326%
Рост +0.005%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.56%16.94%17.03%18.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.805.345.406.0020.83%18.73%18.52%16.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: VfL Wolfsburg (Хозяева): 72.46%; FC Energie Cottbus (Гости): 10.60%; Ничья: 16.94%. Для исхода «FC Energie Cottbus (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 9.43. 9 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 10.62, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +12.59%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.99%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.90%G +0.000%10.62I 9.42%NM 8.92%EV +12.59%E +1.19%K +1.31%G +0.165%5.54I 18.05%NM 17.09%EV -6.16%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Suprabets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.57%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV +6.01%E +0.601%K +0.668%G +0.040%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 10:48
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.14%EV -4.35%E -3.30%K -13.60%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.72%EV +3.89%E +0.397%K +0.443%G +0.017%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -11.07%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.14%EV -4.35%E -3.30%K -13.60%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.72%EV +3.89%E +0.397%K +0.443%G +0.017%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -11.07%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 13:00
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.52%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.98%EV +0.714%E +0.075%K +0.084%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -2.61%E -0.453%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 01:45
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.34%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +0.714%E +0.075%K +0.084%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 11:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.54%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +0.714%E +0.075%K +0.084%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +1.63%E +0.271%K +0.326%G +0.005%5.9%2026-09-04 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.51%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +0.714%E +0.075%K +0.084%G +0.001%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -10.23%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV +0.714%E +0.075%K +0.084%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 14:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.90%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.92%EV -0.346%E -0.037%K -0.041%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 08:30
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.59%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.07%EV -1.41%E -0.151%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 09:35
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.12%EV -4.35%E -3.30%K -13.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV -4.59%E -0.510%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 11:55
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -4.59%E -0.510%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 11:05
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -4.59%E -0.510%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 10:05
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -4.59%E -0.510%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 10:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -4.59%E -0.510%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 10:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -4.59%E -0.510%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 10:05
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -4.59%E -0.510%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 07:50
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -4.59%E -0.510%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 07:53
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -4.59%E -0.510%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 14:30
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.86%EV -5.08%E -3.88%K -16.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -9.89%E -1.16%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +1.63%E +0.271%K +0.326%G +0.005%4.8%2026-09-03 15:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.34%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.89%E -1.16%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -2.61%E -0.453%K -0.549%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -9.89%E -1.16%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -11.07%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 11:55
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -9.89%E -1.16%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 14:29
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -9.89%E -1.16%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 11:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.87%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -9.89%E -1.16%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -11.07%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 14:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 72.24%EV -12.32%E -10.18%K -58.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.28%EV -9.89%E -1.16%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-04 11:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.52%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.34%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.22%EV -10.95%E -1.30%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -1.76%E -0.303%K -0.366%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.16%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.34%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.21%EV -12.54%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -11.07%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 11:59
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.83%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.90%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.14%EV -12.54%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 15:32
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:04
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:05
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:05
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:04
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.79%EV -3.63%E -2.73%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 08:04
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.64%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -2.61%E -0.453%K -0.549%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 11:45
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.07%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.49%EV -5.99%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.07%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.49%EV -5.99%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:19
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.03%EV -15.19%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -18.70%E -3.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-04 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.34%EV -10.15%E -8.18%K -42.29%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.35%EV -16.25%E -2.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.31%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.39%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -17.84%E -2.30%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +1.63%E +0.271%K +0.326%G +0.005%7.1%2026-09-04 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -20.49%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 14:20
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -20.49%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -13.62%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 08:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.54%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -20.49%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.33%EV -11.07%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 11:45
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.54%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -20.49%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.33%EV -11.07%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 11:45
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.18%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -20.49%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.75%EV -13.62%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.18%EV -6.53%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -20.49%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.75%EV -13.62%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 08:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -20.49%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -11.07%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 11:45
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -20.49%E -2.73%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -11.07%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.97%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -25.79%E -3.68%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -25.79%E -3.68%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 08:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -25.79%E -3.68%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 08:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.67%EV -7.98%E -6.28%K -29.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV -25.79%E -3.68%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 08:05
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.16%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.34%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.51%2.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.44%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.78%2.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.44%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.78%2.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.44%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.78%2.3%2026-09-04 14:30
Matchbook◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.44%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.78%2.3%2026-09-04 14:30
Kalshi◎1.32I 75.76%NM 73.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.73%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.55%2.8%2026-09-04 14:30