Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

VfL Osnabrück v Hertha Berlin

Início: 2026-09-13 11:30 UTC

Final: VfL Osnabrück 1–3 Hertha Berlin

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

VfL Osnabrück (Local)

Previsão 31.09%3.22odd justa
EV +1.04%
Vantagem +0.320%
Kelly +0.462%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.92%31.04%31.13%32.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.823.023.003.2535.46%33.12%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hertha Berlin (Visitante)

Previsão 44.00%2.27odd justa
EV -4.96%
Vantagem -2.30%
Kelly -4.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.34%44.15%43.97%46.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.892.062.102.1652.91%48.48%47.62%46.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.91%4.01odd justa
EV -0.354%
Vantagem -0.088%
Kelly -0.118%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.80%24.81%24.91%25.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.473.723.754.0028.82%26.86%26.67%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: VfL Osnabrück (Local): 31.09%; Hertha Berlin (Visitante): 44.00%; Empate: 24.91%. Para VfL Osnabrück (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.22. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.04%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +1.04%E +0.320%K +0.462%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 10:51
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +1.04%E +0.320%K +0.462%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 10:51
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +1.04%E +0.320%K +0.462%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 10:50
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +1.04%E +0.320%K +0.462%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 10:51
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +1.04%E +0.320%K +0.462%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 10:51
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +1.04%E +0.320%K +0.462%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 10:51
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +1.04%E +0.320%K +0.462%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +1.04%E +0.320%K +0.462%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 10:50
Pinnacle🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.44%EV -1.14%E -0.357%K -0.521%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.24%EV -5.84%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.32%EV -0.852%E -0.214%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-13 11:25
1xBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -2.07%E -0.657%K -0.962%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.59%EV -6.28%E -2.95%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.26%EV -6.33%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.74%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.94%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 07:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.74%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.94%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 07:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 11:25
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -15.08%E -7.81%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 10:50
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -15.08%E -7.81%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 10:51
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -15.08%E -7.81%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.77%EV -15.52%E -8.08%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.77%EV -15.52%E -8.08%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 10:51
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.18%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.78%EV -4.96%E -2.30%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 08:10
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -5.18%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -6.72%E -3.17%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 10:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.99%EV -5.18%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.78%EV -16.84%E -8.91%K -18.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.23%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 10:51
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -5.49%E -1.81%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -8.04%E -3.85%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -5.83%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 11:20
Suprabets🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.45%EV -5.49%E -1.81%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.93%EV -9.36%E -4.54%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.62%EV -6.33%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 11:25
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.354%E -0.088%K -0.118%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 11:25
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.95%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 10:40
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 11:15
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 10:41
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 08:05
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 10:49
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 11:24
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 11:25
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 11:20
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 08:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.29%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 08:05
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -8.29%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -6.72%E -3.17%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 08:10
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -8.29%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 08:05
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -8.29%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 08:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 11:20
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 11:11
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 11:20
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 11:20
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.80%E -4.78%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 10:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.79%EV -12.88%E -6.51%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-13 11:05
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.46%E -3.63%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 11:20
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.46%E -3.63%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -9.80%E -4.78%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.46%E -3.63%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -9.80%E -4.78%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 10:35
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.46%E -3.63%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -9.80%E -4.78%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 10:35
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -10.77%E -3.75%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -9.80%E -4.78%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -10.77%E -3.75%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -9.80%E -4.78%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.43%EV -11.40%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.69%EV -9.80%E -4.78%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 08:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.80%EV -11.40%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.30%EV -13.56%E -3.91%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 11:18
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 30.89%EV -12.33%E -4.37%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.22%EV -13.32%E -6.76%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-13 11:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-09-13 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-09-13 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-09-13 11:25
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-09-13 11:25
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-09-13 11:25
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-13 11:25