Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VfL Osnabrück v Hertha Berlin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 11:30 UTC

Score final : VfL Osnabrück 1–3 Hertha Berlin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VfL Osnabrück (Local)

Prévision 31.09%3.22cote équitable
EV +1.04%
Avantage +0.320%
Kelly +0.462%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.92%31.04%31.13%32.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.823.023.003.2535.46%33.12%33.33%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hertha Berlin (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.00%2.27cote équitable
EV -4.96%
Avantage -2.30%
Kelly -4.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.34%44.15%43.97%46.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.892.062.102.1652.91%48.48%47.62%46.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.91%4.01cote équitable
EV -0.354%
Avantage -0.088%
Kelly -0.118%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.80%24.81%24.91%25.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.473.723.754.0028.82%26.86%26.67%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : VfL Osnabrück (Local) : 31.09% ; Hertha Berlin (Visiteur) : 44.00% ; Match nul : 24.91%. Pour VfL Osnabrück (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.22. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.25, soit une espérance positive de +1.04%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +1.04%E +0.320%K +0.462%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 10:51
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +1.04%E +0.320%K +0.462%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 10:51
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +1.04%E +0.320%K +0.462%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 10:50
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +1.04%E +0.320%K +0.462%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 10:51
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +1.04%E +0.320%K +0.462%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 10:51
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +1.04%E +0.320%K +0.462%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 10:51
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +1.04%E +0.320%K +0.462%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +1.04%E +0.320%K +0.462%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 10:50
Pinnacle🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.44%EV -1.14%E -0.357%K -0.521%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.24%EV -5.84%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.32%EV -0.852%E -0.214%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-13 11:25
1xBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -2.07%E -0.657%K -0.962%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.59%EV -6.28%E -2.95%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.26%EV -6.33%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.74%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.94%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 07:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.74%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.94%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 07:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 11:25
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -15.08%E -7.81%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 10:50
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -15.08%E -7.81%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 10:51
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -15.08%E -7.81%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.77%EV -15.52%E -8.08%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.77%EV -15.52%E -8.08%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 10:51
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.18%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.78%EV -4.96%E -2.30%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 08:10
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -5.18%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -6.72%E -3.17%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 10:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.99%EV -5.18%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.78%EV -16.84%E -8.91%K -18.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.23%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 10:51
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -5.49%E -1.81%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -8.04%E -3.85%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -5.83%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 11:20
Suprabets🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.45%EV -5.49%E -1.81%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.93%EV -9.36%E -4.54%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.62%EV -6.33%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 11:25
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.354%E -0.088%K -0.118%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 11:25
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.95%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 10:40
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 11:15
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 10:41
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 08:05
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 10:49
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 11:24
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 11:25
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 11:20
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 08:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.29%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.34%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 08:05
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -8.29%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -6.72%E -3.17%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 08:10
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -8.29%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 08:05
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -8.29%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 08:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 11:20
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.981%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 11:11
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 11:20
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 11:20
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.80%E -4.78%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 10:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.79%EV -12.88%E -6.51%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-13 11:05
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.46%E -3.63%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 11:20
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.46%E -3.63%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -9.80%E -4.78%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.46%E -3.63%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -9.80%E -4.78%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 10:35
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.46%E -3.63%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -9.80%E -4.78%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 10:35
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -10.77%E -3.75%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -9.80%E -4.78%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -10.77%E -3.75%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -9.80%E -4.78%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.43%EV -11.40%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.69%EV -9.80%E -4.78%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 08:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.80%EV -11.40%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.30%EV -13.56%E -3.91%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 11:18
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 30.89%EV -12.33%E -4.37%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.22%EV -13.32%E -6.76%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-13 11:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-09-13 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-09-13 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-09-13 11:25
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-09-13 11:25
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-09-13 11:25
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-13 11:25