Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Osnabrück v Eintracht Braunschweig

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 11:30 UTC

Final: VfL Osnabrück 3–1 Eintracht Braunschweig

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Osnabrück (Local)

Prediction 42.44%2.36fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.847%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.88%42.35%42.46%43.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3148.78%45.55%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eintracht Braunschweig (Visit)

Prediction 31.08%3.22fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.766%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.35%31.24%31.00%33.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.932.903.1436.36%34.17%34.48%31.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.48%3.78fair odd
EV -0.716%
Edge -0.191%
Kelly -0.260%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.49%26.42%26.54%27.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.473.503.7530.77%28.81%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfL Osnabrück (Local): 42.44%; Eintracht Braunschweig (Visit): 31.08%; Draw: 26.48%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -0.716%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.12%EV -1.96%E -0.847%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.98%EV -7.69%E -2.59%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.91%EV -6.54%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.81%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.63%EV -5.51%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.56%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 10:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.81%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.63%EV -5.51%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.56%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 10:39
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.56%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -0.716%E -0.191%K -0.260%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 10:45
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:44
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:44
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:44
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:44
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 10:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -12.97%E -4.63%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 10:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -12.97%E -4.63%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 10:44
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -12.97%E -4.63%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:30
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.19%EV -4.93%E -2.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.81%EV -2.40%E -0.766%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.00%EV -1.51%E -0.406%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 11:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.82%EV -6.20%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -3.65%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.23%EV -6.20%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 11:25
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -5.20%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 10:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.65%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 10:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.65%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:05
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 10:39
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.20%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 10:30
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 10:28
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 11:10
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.97%E -4.63%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 10:45
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.97%E -4.63%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.31%E -3.38%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.97%E -4.63%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.31%E -3.38%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 10:44
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -7.47%E -3.43%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.31%E -2.82%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 11:25
Suprabets🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.88%EV -8.32%E -3.85%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.24%EV -6.54%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 11:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -8.32%E -3.85%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -14.53%E -5.28%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 10:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -8.32%E -3.85%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -14.53%E -5.28%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 10:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -8.32%E -3.85%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -14.53%E -5.28%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 10:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 11:05
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 11:03
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 11:03
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:05
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:05
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:05
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.31%E -2.82%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:23
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.09%EV -9.24%E -3.16%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 11:14
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 11:00
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 11:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 11:00
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.49%E -3.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.49%E -3.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.80%E -3.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 10:30
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.80%E -3.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 10:29
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 10:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -11.42%E -4.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 11:05
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -10.49%E -3.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 10:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 41.94%EV -12.14%E -5.87%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.34%EV -13.90%E -5.02%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -13.95%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-06 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -12.99%E -6.34%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 11:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-09-06 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-09-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-09-06 11:20
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-09-06 11:25
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-09-06 11:25
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%2.9%2026-09-06 10:35